Bundesliga Betting: Bayern to keep it tight against Nürnberg



Borussia Dortmund 1.22, the draw 5.80, Werder Bremen 12.50

“They are in a different league to us, but that doesn’t mean we can’t get a point,” said Werder coach Robin Dutt. Not exactly fighting talk, is it? The visitors' manager knows that 1-0 wins in the opening fixtures v Augsburg and Braunschweig do not necessarily suggest that the northerners are good enough to stay near the very top of the table in the long run. Captain Clemens Fritz didn’t make the trip, while centre-back Luca Caldirola is also doubtful for them. Dortmund might have to play Mitchell Langerak in goal for Roman Weidenfeller (stomach virus) but Ilkay Gündogan is the only significant absentee otherwise. The market expects a big win for the home side and lots of goals. I like over 0.5 for Bremen at 1.64.


FC Bayern Munich 1.08, the draw 10.00, 1. FC Nürnberg 26.00

Nürnberg got a home draw against Munich last season, thanks to a fine goal from Markus Feulner. The ex-Bayern midfielder has recovered in time for this game, along with centre-back Per Nilsson. Si coach Michael Wiesinger is able to put a strong side out at the Allianz Arena but will it be enough to stem the Red tide? Pep Guardiola is likely to give Mario Götze his debut in a Bayern shirt - albeit as a substitute - but Javier Martinez will be rested again. Bayern aren't great value so I’d focus on Nürnberg not scoring at 1.58; after criticism about the side’s openness, Guardiola will stress the importance of a clean sheet.


Bayer Leverkusen 1.70, the draw 3.65, Borussia Mönchengladbach 5.00

This game is a real test for the Foals’ top four credentials. They were outstanding in the 3-0 win v Hannover and will pose problems for Leverkusen’s defence with their quick transition game. Leverkusen are looking to win their eighth Bundesliga game on the trot, which would be a new record. Sami Hyypiä might not be able to field winger Sidney Sam but Robbie Kruse is a decent back-up. Gladbach should be at full strength. The home side are seen as big favourites but I think it’ll be a very close call. Gladbach draw no bet at 3.6 looks good to me.


Mainz 2.60, the draw 3.40, Wolfsburg 2.60

Mainz started well with two wins but Wolfsburg are also supremely confident following their 4-0 win over Schalke. Luiz Gustavo coming into central midfield has given everyone a huge lift. Thomas Tuchel's side are awkward to play against; playmaker Diego will have a hard time finding space and time on the ball. But Wolfsburg are the better side. Take them at DNB at 2.85.


Hannover 96 2.60, the draw 3.45, Schalke 04 2.55

The Royal Blues are hurting after the 1-1 draw with Saloniki in the Champions League qualifier. Jefferson Farfan will be rested after badly bruising his ankle and there isn’t that much quality available in wide areas at the moment. Christian Clemens should be playing with Max Meyer, either side of Julian Draxler. There’s a suspicion that the visitors will be quite happy to escape with a draw here. As for 96, they will make changes at the back: Sane will play right-back, Karim Haggui will come back in the middle. Their home form is usually very good but the team are still getting to know each other. Safety first will be the order of the day on both sides. Back under 2.5 goals at 2.45.


Hertha BSC 1.90, the draw 3.50, Hamburger SV 4.00

The northerners are in crisis mode, the pressure is on. Left-back Marcell Jansen is out with a broken toe, so there’ll have to be a reshuffle at the back. Zhi Gin Lam, 22, might come in because Dennis Aogo was  kicked out of the squad for taking a mid-season break in Mallorca. Hertha are in a much better position, even though a kiss-and-tell story in a local tabloid unsettled the squad somewhat during the week. Manager Jos Luhukay has good options, especially in midfield; on the other side, main striker Artjoms Rudnves should make his first start. Hertha should win this.


TSG Hoffenheim 1899 1.80, the draw 3.35, SC Freiburg 4.40

Markus Gisdol’s team have had a great start to the season. The troubles of the past campaign seem to have been banished, they now play with freedom and style. Playmaker Roberto Firmino, in particular, has been in outstanding form. Freiburg, in contrast, are struggling to integrate their new signings and cope with injuries. “I knew it would be like that,” said a gloomy-looking Christian Streich before the match. Striker Mike Hanke has an outside chance of playing up front but TSG are huge favourites in any case. Freiburg struggle to score goals, so I’d tackle this by taking them not to score at 2.85.


Eintracht Braunschweig 2.80, the draw 3.35, Eintracht Frankfurt 2.45

The return of winger Karim Bellarabi (on loan from Leverkusen) and key striker Dominick Kumbela (fit enough for a place on the bench) will strengthen the newly promoted side in attack. Both sides are yet to pick up a point this season. Under normal circumstances, Frankfurt would be big favourites to win but Braunschweig’s first two games have shown that they can make life difficult for anyone. A trip to Baku for the EL play-off v Qarabag Agdam wasn’t an ideal preparation either. Braunschweig are good value in the double chance at 1.48.


FC Augsburg 2.20, the draw 3.40, VfB Stuttgart 3.20

The Swabians were unconvincing in the 2-1 defeat at Rijeka on Thursday and have now lost three in a row. On the positive side, they created a lot of chances again. Augsburg, also without a point from their first two games, have similar problems. The fact that new striker Raul Bobadilla picked up a knee injury in his first match won’t help matters. Stuttgart, for all their faults at the back and in midfield have quality in attack. Back them to win at 3.2.