Bundesliga Betting: Bayern to Shut Out Mainz, BVB to Grind Out Win


Friday

TSG Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen (BET and WATCH LIVE on Unibet TV from 19.30 BST)

It’s the Bundesliga goal-machine (20 scored, 20 conceded) against Sami Hyypiä’s counter-attacking masters. Neither side has been overly inconvenienced by the international games but Leverkusen has more options to shuffle the pack and rest tired legs, especially in midfield. Third place in the league makes Bayer favourites to win at the Rhein-Neckar-Stadion (on paper). In reality though, it’ll be very close with only the odd decisive goal or perhaps even a draw. Hoffenheim just love scoring. The 2.5 overs (1.50) is the safest bet here, but not hugely profitable as a consequence. 

 

Saturday

Borussia Dortmund - Hannover 96 (BET and WATCH LIVE on Unibet TV from 14.30 BST)

"With their quick transition game, they’re basically the ideal away team," said Jürgen Klopp about Saturday’s opponents at the Westfalenstadion. That’s true, in a theoretical sense. Unfortunately for Hannover, however, being ideally suited for away games hasn’t actually brought them any points away from home. In fact, they’re the worst side in that respect, with zero points and a goal difference of minus 7. Mirko Slomka’s side are also without their two first-choice strikers Ya Konan and Diouf. Dortmund still have plenty of injury problems and won’t risk doubtful players ahead of the trip to the Emirates on Tuesday. But they’ll find a way to win. Under 3.5 at 1.85 offers good value. 

 

FC Bayern Munich - Mainz 05 (BET and WATCH LIVE on Unibet TV from 14.30 BST)

"Exploiting weaknesses in this Bayern team is the job of Leverkusen and Manchester City," said Mainz coach Thomas Tuchel ahead of the game. Bayern didn’t look too bad in those two games so it’s no wonder that Pep Guardiola’s men, who don’t have any new injury problems, are such big favourites. Mainz’s form has been indifferent verging on poor. They haven’t won a game since match-day 3 and only picked up a single point over the same period. Mainz’s main man Nicolai Müller (six goals) won’t be fully fit so I’d recommend betting on Bayern keeping a clean sheet at 1.68. 

 

Werder Bremen - SC Freiburg (BET and WATCH LIVE on Unibet TV from 14.30 BST)

Robin Dutt is taking on his former club at the Weserstadion. His Werder team have stabilised at a decent level, but Freiburg (17th) are yet to win a game this season. Christian Streich has injury worries over right-back Oliver Sorg and striker Mike Hanke; Dutt is in much better position, with plenty of options after the return of winger Eljero Elia and CM Cedrick Makiadi. A straight-forward win for Werder (1.95) is the bet here. 

 

Eintracht Braunschweig - Schalke 04 (BET and WATCH LIVE on Unibet TV from 14.30 BST)

The international break wasn’t kind to the Royal Blues. Striker Klaas-Jan Huntelaar hurt his knee again at his first day back in training and will know miss the rest of the calendar year. Regular keeper Timo Hildebrand seems to be out (back), Kevin-Prince Boateng is unlikey to be risked (knee-problems) and there are doubts over Adam Szalai as well. It’ll be a case of "bare bones" in attack for Jens Keller. Braunschweig are as happy as they have been all season after winning the derby away to Wolfsburg. I don’t see either side scoring too many goals here. Under 2.5 at 2.05.

 

Eintracht Frankfurt - 1. FC Nürnberg (BET and WATCH LIVE on Unibet TV from 14.30 BST)

The visitors are without a head coach after firing Michael Wiesinger nearly two weeks ago. Roger Prinzen (manager of Nürnberg II) is tasked to get a result as interim coach. Hanno Balitsch and Timo Gebhardt will return to the squad (they had both been suspended from the first team), but midfielder Markus Feulner is still unavailable. Frankfurt have done remarkably well considering their list of injuries and fixture list (Europa League). Their talismanic attacking midfielder Alex Meier is also back in action. They should win fairly comfortably. Eintracht -1 at 2.65

 

Hertha BSC - Borussia Mönchengladbach (BET and WATCH LIVE on Unibet TV from 17.30 BST)

The Foals have the third-best attack in the league (19 goals) - not a stat you’d necessarily expect from a Lucien Favre coached side. Hertha are not as prolific but they usually create a lot of chances. Against Gladbach’s somewhat shaky defence, they’ll find some joy but Arango, Raffael and Kruse are almost impossible to keep at bay at the other end. This will be a fun game, with goals galore. Over 3.5 (2.80)

 

Sunday

Hamburger SV - VfB Stuttgart (BET and WATCH LIVE on Unibet TV from 14.30 BST)

There is life in the old "dinosaur" HSV yet. The van Marwijk-effect has been palpable: there’s consistency in the line-up, more confidence and better organisation. Stuttgart have been equally good under the new management. Thomas Schneider is unbeaten in league games since taking over from Bruno Labbadia. These two sides are hard to split at the moment, so I prefer to look at the goals. Past results are pointing to a ton of them. Over 3.5 at 2.35.

FC Augsburg - VfL Wolfsburg (BET and WATCH LIVE on Unibet TV from 16.30 BST)

A heavy 4-1 defeat at Schalke has dampened optimism in the Augsburg camp a little. On Sunday, they’ll have to make do without regular centre-back Ragnar Klavan, who was sent off at the VeltinsArena for a professional foul. South Korean Jeong-Ho Hong will come in for the Estonian, it’s his first start in the Bundesliga. Wolfsburg look like giving the "derby idiots" (Bild) who lost at home to Braunschweig another go, there aren’t many options on the bench. I expect a reaction from Wolves and don’t see them lose this game. Take them on the double chance at 1.48.

 

Read more from Raphael Honigstein at Unibet.