Raphael Honigstein’s Bundesliga Betting: Bayern’s recent home form should be enough to fend off Dortmund


Eintracht Frankfurt v SV Werder Bremen, Friday 7.30pm

In the last seven games, Eintracht and Werder's Bundesliga seasons have gone in opposite directions. Eintracht's campaign has threatened to fall apart having picked up just two points in that time but Werder have roared out of a relegation battle. Their 3-0 victory over Schalke was their sixth win in seven - not even Bayern can claim to be in such good form.

Eintracht can at least count on Timothy Chandler at wing back once again but the team's confidence looked shattered at Köln on Tuesday night. Like quite a few sides in the Bundesliga, Werder have a host of injury problems with midfielder Thomas Delaney the latest to succumb. Still, despite missing so many players, Werder's momentum makes backing an away win the best option at 3.45.

 

Hamburg SV v TSG Hoffenheim, Saturday 2.30pm

With an excellent display on Tuesday night, Hoffenheim became only the second team to beat Bayern Munich this season. Following that result up north will still be a challenge given Hamburg's recent home form.

The hosts won't have first choice goalkeeper Rene Adler available after he was injured in their defeat at Dortmund during the week. Coach Markus Gisdol was still happy with their performance that night but they'll need to do better against the Hoffe. Such is the way Julian Nagelsmann's side are playing right now, it's difficult to look past the away win at 2.08.

 

FC Schalke 04 v VfL Wolfsburg, Saturday 2.30pm

Neither Schalke nor Wolfsburg had midweek matches to remember. Schalke suffered their biggest defeat of the season in Bremen on Tuesday whilst Wolfsburg lost for the first time since Andries Jonker took charge. It's reasonable to expect an attacking response from both sides given that they've each only taken a point so far from the 'English week' as it's known in Germany. Go for over 2.5 goals at 1.88.

 

SC Freiburg v 1. FSV Mainz 05, Saturday 2.30pm

With a 3-2 defeat to Leipzig, Mainz fell to their fourth consecutive Bundesliga defeat - a run which accurately reflects their recent performances. Next up, it's Freiburg who responded well to their horror show in their previous game. 

Florian Niederlechner struck their winner at Wolfsburg but goalkeeper Alexander Schwolow deserves credit for a superb performance behind him. Christian Streich's side have been flaky in recent weeks but Mainz look bereft of confidence at present. Plump for a home win at 2.43.

 

RB Leipzig v Bayer Leverkusen, Saturday 2.30pm

Leverkusen's victory at Darmstadt on Wednesday evening allowed them to exhale. It was their first win under Tayfun Korkut and eased any worries about slipping into the relegation battle. Leipzig edged a step closer to Champions League football next season with a win at Mainz. Midfielder Emil Forsberg was in instrumental form as Ralph Hasenhüttl's side recorded their second victory on the bounce. Those have both been against beleaguered opponents, yet Leverkusen still fall into that category, making a home win the best bet on Saturday at 1.98.

 

1. FC Köln v Borussia Mönchengladbach, Saturday 2.30pm

Both Cologne and Gladbach warmed up for the Rhine derby with 1-0 wins during the week. The difference is Gladbach could have easily scored a few more against Hertha, such was their attacking dominance whilst Cologne didn't create much against Eintracht.

The difference on Saturday is likely to be that attacking quality. Yuya Osako for example has provided vital support for Anthony Modeste up front but he'll be out injured for this one. Gladbach lost the home game to Cologne earlier this season but back them to get revenge at their arch-rivals at 2.75.

 

Bayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund, Saturday 2.30pm

Even if they did beat Hamburg 3-0, Tuchel spoke after of wanting his Dortmund side to be more clinical in front of goal. That's not something that Bayern Munich have struggled to do at the Allianz Arena recently. To be exact, they've scored 25 in their last five home games. However, as Hoffenheim showed on Tuesday, Bayern are stoppable.

Manuel Neuer still isn’t fit, so Sven Ulreich will continue to deputise in goal.  That’s certainly a boon for Dortmund but even with Sokratis returning from suspension, you wouldn’t say they are defensively sound. Bayern’s recent home form makes you think that the league leaders will sneak this one at 1.65.

 

Hertha BSC v FC Augsburg, Sunday 2.30pm

Hertha coach Pal Dardai says he isn’t sleeping much right now because of his team’s form. Away from home, that’s understandable given that they’ve now lost their seven on the road. At home, they’re usually quite strong.

The consolation is that Augsburg are in a downward spiral. Their home defeat to Ingolstadt included the sort of calamitous defending you usually see from a side heading for the drop. They’re currently in the relegation playoff spot and don’t expect that to change after their visit to Berlin. Back Hertha to win this at 1.78.

 

FC Ingolstadt v SV Darmstadt 98, Sunday 4.30pm

Whilst Darmstadt moved ever closer to relegation, hope springs eternal for second from bottom Ingolstadt. Maik Walpurgis's side are now four points off Augsburg the relegation playoff spot after beating them 3-2 on Wednesday.

Should they complete a third win on the trot, then survival suddenly doesn't look all that unlikely. Darmstadt can be praised for their spirit but quite incredibly, they still haven’t picked up a single point away from home this season. Expect Ingolstadt to have a little more substance and confidence with a home win at 1.51.