Raphael Honigstein's Bundesliga Betting: A Frosty Farewell For Hummels, But Plenty Of Goals For Dortmund


All matches kick-off at 14.30 GMT Saturday

 

Mainz 05 - Hertha BSC

It would have only taken a little more consistency for Mainz and Hertha to reach the top four. No matter, that this game is fifth against sixth represents just how good a campaign both teams have had. A win for either side will guarantee a group stage spot in next season’s Europa League.

You’ve got to back Mainz to be that side though. Hertha’s form has plummeted since the start of April, picking up a solitary point in their last six games. Pick a Mainz home win then at 2.05.

 

Werder Bremen - Eintracht Frankfurt

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This is the game with the most riding on it on Saturday as Werder, the team in the relegation playoff spot, host Eintracht, the club just one place above them. The tantalising prospect for both sides is that a win in this game guarantees survival. Eintracht Frankfurt are the form team coming into this having won their last three games.

Werder though have won their last two at home, making it difficult to pick a winner. When the home side have needed him (which has been quite a bit), their veteran striker Claudio Pizarro has delivered. Back the Peruvian to score anytime in this one at 2.45.

 

VfL Wolfsburg - VfB Stuttgart

Stuttgart have to win on Saturday and even if they do, that might not be enough to keep them up if Bremen and Frankfurt draw. They’ve only taken a point from their last seven games and their haphazard defensive display in their home defeat to Mainz last weekend doesn’t point towards a win in Wolfsburg.

The hosts arrested their slump with a victory against Hamburg last Saturday to move them up into the top half. It’s been a below par season for Dieter Hecking’s side but pick them to relegate Stuttgart here, with a home win at 2.30.

 

Borussia Dortmund - 1. FC Köln

Liverpool v Borussia Dortmund - UEFA Europa League Quarter Final: Second Leg : News Photo

There will be no formal farewell for Dortmund captain Mats Hummels on Saturday after his move to Bayern Munich was confirmed this week. Coach Thomas Tuchel has said though that no players will be rested ahead of next week’s DFB-Cup final.

Cologne’s mid-table finish represents a decent campaign for them but they might just struggle to cope with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Henrikh Mkhitaryan and Marco Reus. Have Dortmund to reach 50 goals at the Signal Iduna Park this season with the home side to score over 2.5 at 1.77.

 

Bayern Munich - Hannover 96

Bayern Munich will lift their fourth consecutive Bundesliga title on Saturday afternoon. The game against already relegated Hannover should be a formality too, even if the away side’s coach Daniel Stendel says they don’t want to just be an accessory to the celebrations. That’s what they might prove to be to Robert Lewandowski though.

The division’s top scorer this season needs just one goal to become the first player since the seventies to score 30 times in a Bundesliga season. He’s good value to net first at the Allianz Arena at 3.80.

 

SV Darmstadt 98 - Borussia Mönchengladbach

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Both of these sides got what they wanted from this season last weekend. Darmstadt secured an improbable survival with a win at Hertha whilst Gladbach all but sewed up the final Champions League place by beating Leverkusen. This will be a day of celebration then, particularly for the home side but it may also be the day when Gladbach’s horrendous winless run on the road is ended.

They’ve not won away from home since October and Darmstadt have just two home victories to their name this season. Their top scorer Sandro Wagner is out suspended too, so mark this down as an away win at 1.95.

 

FC Augsburg - Hamburg SV

Hamburg may be safe but that doesn’t mean it’s quiet off the pitch with outgoing backup goalkeeper Jaroslav Drobny accusing the people in power at the club of having no balls, so to speak. It means third choice stopper Tom Mickel will be in goal at Augsburg. They, like Hamburg, were guaranteed their place in the division last weekend.

This is likely to be coach Markus Weinzierl’s last game but it should end on a high. Augsburg are unbeaten in their last five games and with Hamburg’s off field troubles, it should ensure a home win at 2.00.

 

Bayer Leverkusen - FC Ingolstadt

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It was confirmed this week that Ingolstadt coach Ralph Hasenhüttl will take over at RB Leipzig next season. That’s a big loss for the Bavarian club, given that the Austrian has helped transform them from a club struggling at the foot of the second division to a team who have held their own in the Bundesliga.

Leverkusen is a tricky final day trip for Hasenhüttl and co but the hosts will be without defender Jonathan Tah and striker Javier Hernandez due to injury. The most sensible option though is to pick a home win at 1.48.

 

TSG Hoffenheim - Schalke 04

Since Julian Nagelsmann took over at Hoffenheim, his side have been the fourth best in the division. The biggest reward for Nagelsmann though is that his team have survived. They will certainly be one of the sides to watch in the Bundesliga next season.

As for Schalke, their failure to beat Augsburg last weekend means they can only secure a place in the Europa League group stages now. That won’t be enough to save coach André Breitenreiter but expect him to go out with a bang with over 3.5 goals in this one at 2.05.