Raphael Honigstein's Bundesliga Betting: Home Win Beckons For Rotated Schalke


VfB Stuttgart - Hertha BSC

After their draw at Hannover last weekend, Stuttgart can't exit the relegation zone this weekend but their game against Hertha is pivotal in what has been their worst season in 40 years. Forward Martin Harnik was sent off last weekend so he misses the visit of a Hertha side who gained a valuable victory last Saturday courtesy of Salomon Kalou.

That was a second win in four for Hertha coach Pal Dardai but they hover just two points above the relegation zone and five above Stuttgart at the foot of the table. Dardai has spoken this week about going to Stuttgart to win, not to look good and draw. This though is a meeting between the worst home team in the division against the worst away team - a draw is on the cards at 3.30.



Augsburg - VfL Wolfsburg


Wolfsburg came from behind three times to beat Werder Bremen 5-3 last Sunday and to stay eight points behind leaders Bayern Munich. It starred Kevin De Bruyne and Bas Dost once again as the Wolves continued to assert themselves as the Bundesliga's top team in 2015.

On the other hand, Augsburg have struggled of late. They're without a win in just over a month which is not the sort of form you want to face Wolfsburg in. Given that the last two away games involving Dieter Hecking's side have produced 17 goals, backing over 3.5 looks a good prospect at 2.66.


Schalke 04 - TSG Hoffenheim

Earlier this season, it was defeat to Hoffenheim that saw off Jens Keller at Schalke and Roberto Di Matteo appointed. Ahead of the return fixture, Di Matteo is under pressure. “I’m not sure we can continue in this system with these players,” were his words after their derby demolition at the hands of Borussia Dortmund.  “It was collectively poor from us, including me,” said Di Matteo as he hinted at possible changes ahead of the visit of Hoffenheim.

Markus Gisdol's side aren't great travellers winning just one of their last nine on the road. With Schalke strong at home, provided Di Matteo makes the mooted changes, the home side are still worth backing at 2.25.


Hannover 96 - Bayern Munich


Hannover's recent form is epitomised by their last two home games as against lowly Paderborn and Stuttgart, they've only taken a point. Tayfun Korkut's side are 11th currently but they are fast slipping into a relegation battle. Korkut is without his captain Lars Stindl for the next two matches after he was sent off against Stuttgart.

So with Hannover not in great nick, next then are the most unwelcome visitors in such a situation - Bayern. They only netted four last Friday against Cologne which made it 18 goals scored in their last 3 games. As a result, it wouldn't be very surprising for Bayern to win at -2, priced at 2.55.


SC Freiburg - Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen have made a habit of getting knocked out of the DFB-Pokal by lower ranked opposition. This week, it was third tier Arminia Bielefeld who beat them in the last 16 leading to coach Viktor Skripnik calling for his side to show a reaction at Freiburg. Christian Streich's side did make it through to the next round thanks to victory over fellow Bundesliga outfit Cologne but Freiburg currently dwell in the bottom two having collected four points in their last five games. They should have enough for a draw against Werder though, at 3.40.


Hamburg SV - Borussia Dortmund


Hamburg slipped to a 2-1 defeat at Eintracht Frankfurt last Saturday meaning Joe Zinnbauer's side remain close to the drop zone ahead of Dortmund's visit. Striker Ivica Olic missed that one through injury but he should at least be back on the bench on Saturday.

BVB meanwhile come to Hamburg in good form domestically. They followed up their win over arch-rivals Schalke with a midweek cup victory at Dynamo Dresden. Marco Reus did pick up a knock there and is likely to miss this Saturday's game but Jürgen Klopp's side should still come through here at 1.55.


Mainz 05 - Borussia Mönchengladbach

The Saturday evening game sees the Bundesliga's two Swiss coaches meet but it's only Mainz's Martin Schmidt third game in charge. His side look short of confidence which is understandable given that they've only won two of their last 15 games.

Gladbach are up in third and into the quarter finals of the DFB Pokal after a win against Offenbach on Wednesday. Lucien Favre has a full squad to choose from on Saturday evening and whilst they struggle to score away from home, they should be able to get past this Mainz side at 2.65.