Raphael Honigstein's Bundesliga Betting: Leipzig's slide to continue as Dortmund cope without Yellow Wall


Friday

FC Augsburg v Bayer Leverkusen

The tally for all-time Bundesliga goals stands at 49,999 after last weekend’s action. It’s quite probable then that goal number 50,000 will arrive at the WWK-Arena on Friday night. Leverkusen look the most likely team to get it if their resurgent display against Eintracht Frankfurt is anything to go by. Augsburg though, can take equal encouragement from that performance, such were the defensive holes still present in Roger Schmidt’s side. Augsburg were pretty tame in their defeat at Mainz but you’d expect them to find their way through a poor Leverkusen defence at present. All things considered then, back Augsburg and Leverkusen to have the Bundesliga’s 50,000th goal and more with over 2.5 goals priced at 2.10.

 

Saturday

Mainz 05 v SV Werder Bremen

The pressure was ratcheted up further on Werder Bremen coach Alexander Nouri after their slender defeat to Gladbach last weekend kept them without a point in 2017. They’re even now in the relegation play off spot after Hamburg surged above them. Mainz meanwhile, have some comfortable distance between themselves and the bottom three after beating Augsburg last Friday night. That performance showed why they’re too good for a relegation battle and a victory over Bremen should give further proof of that. With Werder looking listless, back a home win at 1.98.

 

TSG Hoffenheim v SV Darmstadt 98

Bottom club Darmstadt are likely to be taken a little bit more seriously this weekend after their 2-1 victory over Borussia Dortmund last Saturday. The margin of victory was generous to their more illustrious visitors who were dominated for long spells. They’ll face former striker Sandro Wagner at Hoffenheim as he returns from suspension. The Hoffe were beaten at Wolfsburg last time out but expect them to continue their good season overall with a victory -1 at 2.07.

 

Eintracht Frankfurt v FC Ingolstadt

It’s become something of a nasty habit for Ingolstadt to put in a good performance this season and emerge from the game with nothing. That happened once again on Saturday, with Bayern Munich the opponents to emerge with all three points. The next game for Maik Walpurgis isn’t straightforward either. Eintracht Frankfurt are third in the table and boast one of the best home records in the division. Don’t necessarily expect Ingolstadt to roll over then but do anticipate a home win at 2.08.

 

Hertha BSC v Bayern Munich

Arturo Vidal said the true Bayern Munich would show itself against Arsenal and to be fair, Bayern pulled out their best performance of the season on Wednesday night. The German champions looked miles better than they have in any of their five domestic games so far in 2017. Pal Dardai will hope that it’s the previous incarnation of Bayern Munich that turn up in the German capital on Saturday. His Hertha side have lost five of their last seven games in the Bundesliga but they remain in the hunt for a European place. They didn’t give a great account of themselves earlier this season in Munich but back them to do better on Saturday. Both teams to score is well priced at 2.05.

 

Borussia Dortmund v VfL Wolfsburg

It will be in front of an empty yellow wall that Borussia Dortmund host Wolfsburg. The home fans are being punished for their protests against Leipzig in their last Bundesliga home game. It promises to be an eerie occasion which should then suit Wolfsburg. What’s more, Dortmund come into this game having somehow lost in Benfica after missing a ream of chances. Wolfsburg should be in decent spirits after they came from behind to beat Hoffenheim last weekend. Such is Dortmund’s strength at home, you’re still best to go for a home win but it might take Dortmund a while to find their groove. Pick a half time draw but a full time home win at 4.25.

 

Hamburg SV v SC Freiburg

One of the biggest shocks last weekend was Hamburg becoming the first team to win away at Leipzig this season. Centre back Kyriakos Papadopoulous powered in another header for the second week running as Hamburg pulled three points clear of the bottom three. Promoted Freiburg on the other hand pushed themselves up into the reckoning for a European spot with a victory against Cologne. Christian Streich’s team have the best chance conversion ratio in the division and with Hamburg looking handy at home of late too, backing over 2.5 goals at 1.98 looks a smart move.

 

Sunday

Borussia Mönchengladbach v RB Leipzig

Leipzig’s title challenge is fading fast with defeat to Hamburg leaving them seven points behind Bayern at the top of the table.  They could well be ten points off the top by the time they play Borussia Mönchengladbach on Sunday. Gladbach’s revival under Dieter Hecking was maintained in the Bundesliga last weekend with a 1-0 win at Bremen. They were beaten in the Europa League by Fiorentina on Thursday but Hecking’s side dominated their Italian opposition for long spells. At present though, Gladbach look a better side than Leipzig. Back them to be more clinical on Sunday with a home win at 2.65.

 

1. FC Köln v FC Schalke 04

After starting the year in dreadful fashion, Schalke have steadily improved as shown by their draw at Bayern and last weekend’s victory against Hertha. They’re still seven points off Cologne who were beaten at Freiburg last time out. Their list of injuries, like Schalke’s, is quite sizeable and it grew a bit longer on Thursday with midfielder Leonardo Bittencourt ruled out for six weeks with an ankle injury. Still, Cologne are yet to lose at home this season. Schalke will be arriving at the Rhein-Energie-Stadion off the back of a Europa League trip to Greece, albeit a successful one having beaten PAOK comfortably. It’s best to go for a draw here at 3.20.