Raphael Honigstein’s Bundesliga Betting: Mario Gomez to continue firing for Wolfsburg and Leipzig good value for away win


FC Augsburg v FC Ingolstadt

Given some of the luck Ingolstadt have had with refereeing decisions this season, you might say they were due something like Florian Hadergjonaj’s cross looping in for their winner against Mainz on Sunday. Even if they’re seven points off 16th placed, Ingolstadt’s performances in the last few weeks have promised more than their opponents on Wednesday, such was the alarming manner of Augsburg’s 6-0 pounding at Bayern. If Ingolstadt are to complete the most unlikely of escapes, then a win here is a must and it’s eminently possible at 2.95.

 

1. FSV Mainz 05 v RB Leipzig

“Luck at the moment is not our best friend,” said Mainz coach Martin Schmidt after their defeat to Ingolstadt. Neither though are good performances or results. Having lost their last three, they are only out of the relegation playoff spot on goal difference.

Leipzig on the other hand got back on track at the weekend with a 4-0 win but it’s difficult to read too much into thrashing Darmstadt, even if Naby Keita was on song. Mainz’s need for the points should suit Leipzig on the counter, though Timo Werner, a big asset to their game, is only likely to return to the bench. Go for an away win at 2.28.

 

Borussia Mönchengladbach v Hertha BSC

Gladbach coach Dieter Hecking was brutally honest after they escaped Frankfurt with a 0-0 draw. “We were the worse side for 90 minutes today,” he said, so expect some changes to the starting line up for Hertha’s visit. Tobias Strobl will be one, having been sent off on Saturday, so Tony Jantschke is likely to come in for a slightly less familiar role in midfield.

Hertha also finished with 10 men on Friday against Hoffenheim with Maximilian Mittelstädt dismissed in their 3-1 defeat. He’ll be missing for this one then, as will captain Vedad Ibisevic through a yellow card suspension. Hertha just can’t seem to get it right away from home, having lost their last six away from Berlin. With key players missing, back Gladbach to win this at 1.87.

 

SV Darmstadt 98 v Bayer Leverkusen

The fragility of this Leverkusen side was on full show with their late collapse against Wolfsburg. Having been two up with ten to play, they found themselves behind seven minutes later, though teenager Kai Havertz ultimately rescued a draw just before the end.


Darmstadt meanwhile ended up getting pummelled at Leipzig but as Torsten Frings said, they created quite a few chances in the first half, it’s just that they couldn’t take any of them. It’s a matter of when Darmstadt get relegated now but such is the current state of Leverkusen, it makes sense to back the double chance of a home win or a draw at 2.18.

 

VfL Wolfsburg v SC Freiburg

Christian Streich wasn’t best pleased after Freiburg’s 5-2 defeat to Werder Bremen. “We can’t win a Bundesliga game with such a performance,” was his analysis, though his side are still eighth in the table. Prior to their trip to Wolfsburg too, they have only lost one of their last seven away games on the road.

Andries Jonker’s side meanwhile are currently being driven on by Mario Gomez. Six goals have been scored in Jonker’s four games at the club. His hat-trick in their draw at Leverkusen ensured that he’s scored all six of them. So just back Mario Gomez to score anytime here at 2.02.