Hungary top Group F and will likely secure first place if they get a draw this afternoon. Portugal have, meanwhile, drawn their opening two games of Euro 2016 and require a victory to guarantee progression to the knockout stage. Whoever comes second in the group with face England next Monday.
Our experts Tom Kundert and Tomasz Mortimer preview the game.
Tomasz Mortimer on Hungary: Adam Lang is likely to continue in his unaccustomed right back position after Attila Fiola has failed to recover from his ankle injury, 37-year-old Zoltan Gera will likely be rested after playing two games in a week, and Daniel Bode will likely miss out after picking up an injury in training.
Elsewhere there might be slight tweaks to the side from the game against Iceland. Bernd Storck likes to keep his team fresh and likes to surprise the opposition with different lineups, and this will surely be the case here – especially as Hungary are now already officially in the last 16.
Tom Kundert on Portugal: André Gomes and Raphael Guerreiro both picked up knocks against Austria, did not train on Monday, and may have to sit out the match, which would be a blow as the duo have been arguably Portugal’s two best players at the tournament so far.
William Carvalho will surely retain his place in the side ahead of Danilo after his masterful display in Paris on Saturday. Indeed, should Gomes and Guerreiro recover, coach Fernando Santos may well repeat the line-up from that Austria draw.
Mortimer: The last minute equaliser against Iceland was enough to see Hungary qualify through the group as they can finish no lower than third place, and already have more points than the three needed to get through as ‘the best 3rd place finisher’.
The Magyars played a more possession based game against the Icelanders, which was in part due to Iceland’s setup, but also because Storck was looking to dominate the game, however Hungary will likely revert back to type against Portugal and go for a more counter attacking approach – just like they did so effectively against Austria.
Kundert: Despite two disappointing results Portugal have put in two decent performances, especially against Austria who they dominated from start to finish. They were only denied victory by the woodwork, some brilliant goalkeeping and poor finishing. This state of affairs remains a worry. Portugal have had 50 attempts on goal in their first two Euro 2016 games but have just one goal to show for it. They must find their shooting boots if they want to translate good overall play into victories and progress in the tournament.
Mortimer: Adam Nagy will likely be the key man for Hungary, and he’s already impressed in his two games so far at such a young age.
The Ferencvaros man turned 21 the day before the game against Iceland and again put in a fantastic performance, starting attacks with his quick, neat passing, and also covering passing lanes, intercepting the ball and winning tackles. His tactical intelligence is incredible for one so young, and he’ll have to be at his best to help Hungary shutdown the potentially quality players that Portugal possess.
Tom Kundert: Midfielder William Carvalho was outstanding against Austria, playing the holding role to perfection by snuffing out potential danger from his adversaries and launching a series of attacks with excellent distribution of the ball, especially a series of exceptional long passes which invariably found their target. A similar performance against Hungary will go a long way to helping Portugal get their first victory.
Mortimer: Is betting on a player scoring ever a sure thing? Surely it is with Ronaldo, he can’t go three games without scoring can he? He’ll definitely fancy himself against this Hungarian defence too and the odds look fairly decent at 1.76
Kundert: As ever with Portugal, all the focus has been on Cristiano Ronaldo, but it has actually been Nani who has been the team’s biggest goal threat, scoring once, hitting the post twice and coming close to netting on numerous other occasions in the first two matches. Nani is 3.10 to score any time is an interesting bet.
Mortimer: Pepe to get a straight red at 51.00. It’s Pepe, right? If things aren’t going well for Portugal and they get close to going out, I’m sure he’ll be the first to lose his temper
Kundert: As he walked through the mixed zone after the Austria game, stony-faced but resolute, it was clear Cristiano Ronaldo was an angry man, no doubt still seething from his penalty miss. Coach Fernando Santos confided that his captain couldn’t sleep that night and he will clearly be out to make amends. You can’t keep a good man down. Ronaldo to score two or more goals at 4.50 is very tempting.
Mortimer: Hungary 1-2 Portugal at 9.00
Kundert: Hungary 0-2 Portugal at 5.80.