Barcelona and Real Madrid have faced off against one another an astonishing 11 times in the past two seasons, and have already played each other twice this season, so there is plenty of recent form to go off.
The first thing to note is that home advantage isn’t… well… too much of an advantage. In the 11 El Clasicos over the past two seasons, 10 were played at either the Camp Nou or Bernabeu and only twice did the home team win the game. Although the two Super Cup games played at the start of this season were won by the respective home sides.
Real Madrid or the draw can be backed at odds of 2.04 in the Double Chance market on Unibet.
Goals, goals, goals
We may not be able to rely on the home team in El Clasico matches, but we can almost certainly rely on there being goals. There have been 31 goals scored in the last eight matches between Real Madrid and Barcelona, at an average of 3.875 goals per game, while both teams have scored in the last nine meetings.
In addition there have been 24 goals in the last six El Clasicos played at the Camp Nou, at an average of four goals per game. Over 2.5 goals can be backed at 1.50 this weekend, while Over 3.5 goals is a 2.20 chance.
Messi v Ronaldo
Undoubtedly and indisputably the two best players in world football, the presence of Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo certainly adds a great deal to the El Clasico spectacle.
Ronaldo’s hat-trick against Deportivo last weekend means that he and Messi go into this weekend’s game tied on six goals apiece in the race for the Pichichi title.
In the two Super Cup games at the beginning of this season Messi and Ronaldo each scored twice, once in each game. While the duo have also been evenly matched over the past two seasons, each scoring six El Clasico goals in the past two campaigns.
Messi can be backed at odds of 1.70 to add to his tally this weekend while Ronaldo is the value bet at 2.10 to breach the Barca defence.
Although we naturally assume El Clasico matches to be a feast of attacking football, and the number of goals scored in recent meetings backs up that idea, the first 45 minutes of games can be a little cagey.
Of the last 15 Real Madrid versus Barcelona games seven have been level at the interval, with six of those being goalless, and eight have seen one goal or less in the opening 45 minutes. It is 2.35 that this weekend’s game is level at half-time, 3.70 that it is 0-0 at the interval and 1.55 that there are fewer than 1.5 first-half goals.
In a league where two teams currently dominate proceedings it is often suggested that the results in El Clasico matches go a long way to deciding the resting place of the La Liga title. And to a certain extent that is true.
In the eight seasons since Valencia last halted the ‘big two’ dominance in 2003-04, the eventual La Liga winner has taken at least three points from the two El Clasico league matches.
Following Madrid’s poor start to this campaign they are now out to 4.00 in the La Liga betting, with Barcelona as short as 1.25 to regain the title.