La Liga Betting: Getafe v Real Madrid



Luis Garcia's Getafe looked short on energy and creative spark against Sevilla, though they did improve considerably as the game wore on. They were a danger from set-pieces, through Madrid's on-loan winger Pedro León, but a clause in his contract will prevent him causing similar damage to his employers here; Getafe would have to pay €2 million for him to play.

José Mourinho's eyesight is becoming selective again; he criticised the referee's assistant for Pedro's goal in the Supercopa first leg, insisting he had strayed offside. He failed to spot a similar incident last Sunday when Roberto Soldado was clean through on goal. It's just the beginning of this season's mind games.

Team news

With Getafe looking for potential suitors for Miku, the striker will be eager to impress, and he is 4.80 to score at anytime. A good performance against a team of Real Madrid's class could add considerable value to his transfer fee. Abdel Barrada looked lively in his cameo appearance last Saturday, so will probably replace the ineligible León. Diego Castro looked unfit, but will likely keep his place with León missing out.

Trying to second guess José Mourinho is not the easiest of tasks. He had said Gonzalo Higuaín was likely to play the clásico, so inevitably it was Karim Benzema that got the nod. Ángel Di María should return to the starting eleven, however. Pepe returned to training on Friday, but it would seem daft to risk him with the return leg approaching next week.

Form

Both teams enter this derby having failed to secure a win on the first weekend. Getafe realise the size of the task and will look to tailor their tactics to prevent Ronaldo and co. reaching full flow. That's easier said than done.

Recent head-to-head

2008 was the last time Getafe beat Real, and they have succumbed to defeat in their seven previous meetings. However, the last eight matches at Coliseum Alfonso Pérez have produced a close aggregate scoreline of Real Madrid 12-11 Getafe.

Goalscorer betting

Ángel Di María's ability to cut inside on to his stronger left foot makes him a threat. He links well with Mesut Özil, who glides out to the right, also allowing room for the overlap of Álvaro Arbeloa. You can get 9.25 on Di María opening the scoring.

Verdict

Having opened the season with a draw, this game is perhaps more important to Real than the second leg of the Supercopa. Getafe struggled with the pace of Sevilla's wide players last week and it's only going to get harder with speed of Real's transitions. A Real Madrid to win is at 1.30.

Bonus bet

4-2 and 3-2 scores have both cropped up twice in the last six meetings. It might be worth a cheeky bet on one of these, as anything can happen in derby matches. 4-2 to Real Madrid is 34.00, while 3-2 is at 22.00. For a more rewarding but equally optimistic return, you could try Getafe at 60.00 for a 3-2 victory.

Score prediction

Getafe 0-3 Real Madrid (8.75)