La Liga Betting: It's not all about El Clasico


Mallorca 1.88, the draw 3.50, Real Zaragoza 4.15

The islanders have been indifferent at home throughout this season, with just six wins in their 16 games to date. The same could be said of their season as a whole though, with financial issues off the pitch providing distractions. Three of Mallorca’s last four wins have come against bottom five sides, so they will be looking to continue that trend against lowly Zaragoza. However, this resurgent Zaragoza side travel to the Iberostar Stadium off the back of four wins from their last six games. This run of form looks all the more impressive when factoring that the only defeats were against Barcelona and Sevilla. They do still sit five points from safety, and they’ve been in the relegation places since the end of November, but manager Manolo Jimenez is renowned for his motivational techniques and he will be hoping his words of wisdom can inspire another three points. Out of the last 10 goals scored by Zaragoza, six have come in the final 15 minutes of games. A hefty 4.15 looks good value for an away win.

Sporting de Gijón 2.25, the draw 3.30, Rayo Vallecano 3.20

Having led the mighty Real Madrid last weekend for a matter of mere minutes, Sporting predictably reverted to type and defended for their lives with little success. Luckily for them, their ability to breathe is not dependent on keeping clean sheets as 14 goals have sailed in over the course of the past seven games. In their last 14 games, Sporting have scored and conceded in all but three of their matches, you can get both teams to score at 1.55. Rayo, meanwhile, have enjoyed a fantastic campaign, but have recently been showing signs of running out of steam. Despite last week's narrow local derby loss to Atlético, they too have been shipping goals for and against. They have conceded at least four goals in their last four away games, so the over 3.5 goals bet might be worth taking.

Sevilla 1.57, the draw 3.80, Levante 6.20

Six league places separate these two sides, but that's just three points, in the vast open race for Champions League qualification. Sevilla will be looking to bounce back from Monday’s hammering at the hands of Getafe. In their last four wins they have scored exactly three goals, so lumping on a 3-0 or 3-1 scoreline might prove lucrative. If you can wait for the late odds on a first goalscorer, then this might be a firm option: Manu del Moral has five goals in his last six games, whilst Álvaro Negredo has four, as the latter looks to stake a claim for La Selección's European Championship squad.

Granada CF 2.20, the draw 3.35, Getafe 3.25

Granada have won only two of their last 10 games - with those coming against the current bottom two sides in La Liga. Getafe have struggled away from home in recent weeks, but will be in high spirits after scoring five at home to Sevilla, don't be expecting a repeat though - as they have only scored 3+ goals three times this season. A low-scoring draw might suit both sides.

Real Sociedad 2.30, the draw 3.30, Villarreal 3.10.

These two clubs know that a win could propel them away from the jaws danger, while defeat would drag them back into in the mire. The stick or twist situation can often leave teams too nervous to push forward for fear of mistakes. La Real have drawn their last three matches, while the 'Yellow Submarines' have done the same in three out of their last six. Villarreal have the second worst away record this season. A cagey draw (3.30) seems the obvious result, with under 3.5 goals worthy of some consideration at 1.33.

Racing Santander 4.00, the draw 3.50, Athletic Club Bilbao 1.90.

Bottom of the league? Yes! Worst home form in the league? Yes! Destined for life in the Segunda next season? Certainly Yes! Guaranteed defeat to Marcelo Bielsa's trojans? Not necessarily… Athletic Club will be on a low after the midweek Europa League defeat to Sporting Lisbon in Portugal, and they have won just four of their 12 games following European fixtures this season. After the Basques’ victory at Old Trafford, Sir Alex Ferguson commented "We are finding it difficult to combine the two competitions, playing Thursday and Sunday". Those words could easily have come from his Argentinean counterpart, but for differing reasons. With this match sandwiched between the Europa Semi Final two legs and 'El Loco' most likely to rest key players, a double chance of a home win and a draw at 1.88 is worth a punt, even though Racing have not won in their last 15 La Liga matches.

Atlético Madrid 1.60, the draw 3.80, Espanyol 5.75

If Atléti only had to play their games at the Vicente Calderón, they would be sitting in a Champions League berth at present, unfortunately for them reality doesn't quite work like that. No side are more reliant on one player for goals than Los Colchoneros, Radamel Falcao has scored 52% of his side's goals in the Primera, adding two more to his overall tally Thursday evening. Having not won away this year, it's safe to assume that Espanyol will probably not start doing so here. One factor these two sides have in common, is they both demolished Valencia in their last games. It's unlikely they will find such space in the area against each other, under 3.5 looks the safest option.

Valencia 1.60, the draw 3.60, Real Betis 6.20.

Unai Emery is more conversed than most when it comes to squad rotation, his meticulous planning will have assisted him to juggle the demands of the final countdown to the season. His Valencia side have struggled recently, as players and fans alike have begun to ask surprising questions over their current and potential achievements. The starting eleven for this game is likely to be strong, following the uphill battle they now face in the return in Europe with Atlético. It's great to see Real Betis back in the big time and although not mathematically safe it's a fairly comfortable assumption that they will again be in the top flight next season. They have lost only three of their last 13 games, a look at an under 3.5 might well be in order for this one.

Osasuna 2.80, the draw 3.30, Málaga 2.50.

Pamplona is not the easiest of places to get a result, when taking away losses to the 'Big Two' only Atlético Madrid has come away with a victory. Against fellow 'Top Four' chasers, Màlaga have failed to win at opposing grounds this season. The two sides are difficult to predict, hence the similar odds - I think I'd just be swayed for a home victory.