La Liga Final Weekend: Sky Sports Expert Terry Gibson Predicts Both The Title Race & Relegation Fight


Granada - Barcelona

Barcelona are looking to clinch their sixth La Liga title in the last eight seasons when they travel to Los Cármenes on Saturday afternoon. Only a win guarantees them the title. 

They have certainly been aided by the fact that Granada achieved their aim last week in avoiding relegation,with an emphatic and surprising 4-1 away victory at Sevilla.

This means that Barca will play against slightly more relaxed opposition but in reality, similar to all of their recent opponents, no matter how well they played or whether they were relaxed or intense, Deportivo, Sporting Gijon, Betis and Espanyol were never going to be a match for Barca.

This run of fixtures has certainly enabled Barca to get themselves out of a tricky situation. To be fair they have done it in style scoring 21 goals and conceding none!

FC Barcelona v Real CD Espanyol - La Liga : News Photo

Luis Suarez has been in inspirational form scoring 11 in these 4 games and is on fire at the moment.

Barca have won 11 of the last 12 against Granada and I'm expecting no different in this game. One or two Granada players have declared their preference for Real Madrid to win the title and explained that they will be doing all they can to deny Barcelona! Why do it? Espanyol players said the same last week and look where it got them!

Why antagonise superior and already motivated opponents? It's bonkers.

I feel that with their experience, better players and a realisation that they almost blew it that Barcelona will not falter in crossing the finishing line. I can't see anything else but a Barcelona win and La Liga triumph for Luis Enrique and his team.

I correctly predicted a 5-0 win last week when a lot of people were expecting Espanyol to be tougher opponents and I'm going to go big but not as big this week. There are 5 players missing for Granada so I'm predicting a 3-0 win for Barcelona. What about one goal each for the MSN to reach the 130 combined season total? 249 in the last 2 seasons is absolutely insane! 

 

Deportivo la Coruńa - Real Madrid

This used to be a problem venue for Real Madrid but not anymore. The Riazor used to be a bit of a bogey ground for Real, very similar in fact to Barcelona and their struggles at The Anoeta the home of Real Sociedad.

Real Madrid have now won 9 of the last 10 against Depor home and away and last season rammed home their new found authority in this stadium with a 8-2 victory.

Real Madrid have to win and they will, they then have to hope that Barcelona don't win. A draw or defeat for Barca and a win for Real will take the title to the Bernabeu.

I fully expect Real to take care of business at their end. Why wouldn't I? Since losing to Atletico, Zidane's team have racked up 11 straight victories in La Liga to hunt down and close the gap on Barcelona and Atletico who are now out of the race.

FBL-ESP-LIGA-REALMADRID-TRAINING : News Photo

It has been a great run of form in difficult circumstances and the future looks bright for Zidane. 

However there will be no Gareth Bale again this week as he is now nursing a knee injury and 1 or 2 others might be rested as well in preparation for the Champions League final v Atletico. 

Despite this Real will still be too strong for Depor who ensured that they will be in La Liga again next season due to a much needed win last week at Villarreal.

They are a team though that have lost the last 3 at home. They also have a La Liga all time draw record to boast about this season of 18 but I don't see them adding to that this week.

The atmosphere in the stadium will be very interesting indeed. If Barca race into an early lead in their game then it might all turn a little flat, however can you imagine if Granada get their noses in front or are holding on for a long period of the game, then it might just get a bit lively.

Taking into account all the different possibilities I only see one result in this game and that is a convincing win for Real Madrid and as I said earlier don't rule out Ronaldo chasing down Luis Suarez in his efforts to hold onto his Pichichi. Barca won here recently 8-0, Real Madrid won here last season 8-2 so he will fancy his chances of closing the 4 goal gap.

I'm tipping a goal hungry Ronaldo to lead Real Madrid to an emphatic 5-0 win, but no title and no Pichichi.

 

Now to the relegation issues.

All games kick off simultaneously on Sunday. As things stand Levante are already down.

The remaining 2 places are between 3 teams, Rayo Vallecano, Getafe and Sporting Gijon and only one survives. Exciting stuff on the final day.

Getafe CF v Valencia CF - La Liga : News Photo

Here's the bottom of the table as it stands

Getafe                36pts

Sporting Gijon   36pts

Rayo Vallecano  35pts

Levante               32pts(relegated)

 

And the fixtures 

Rayo Vallecano v Levante

Betis v Getafe

Sporting Gijon v Villarreal

 

You would think on the face of it that Rayo have to win against Levante to have any chance.

There is an unlikely possibility though that a draw might be enough and all 3 teams end up level on 36 points. This is due to the La Liga equation of taking into account the head to head results rather than the normal goal difference equation.

If all 3 teams end up level then Rayo have a better head to head record over both Getafe and Sporting. They have taken 4 points from both teams this season.

For this to happen Rayo can draw and both Sporting and Getafe lose. 

It then goes down to the mini table between the three and Rayo come out on top easily. They survive and Getafe and Sporting would be relegated.

Getafe have the better head to head over Sporting Gijon so if Rayo fail to win and Sporting and Getafe achieve the same results and end up level on points then Getafe will be safe as they have taken 4 points from the 2 games against Sporting Gijon.

Stay with me, we are getting there!

 

Rayo Vallecano v Getafe CF - La Liga : News Photo

 

Rayo - Levante

I'm going for a home win so therefore Rayo finish on 38 points.

 

Betis - Getafe

I'm going for a draw, Getafe finish on 37 points

 

Sporting Gijon - Villarreal 

Another draw for me here so Sporting finish on 37 points.

 

So that's Rayo to survive, and Getafe and Sporting to join Levante and be relegated. And we don't even need the head to head or 3 team mini table to sort it all out!