Terry Gibson's La Liga Betting: Leganes don't convert enough chances to trouble stuttering Sevilla


Sevilla v Leganés, Saturday 3.15pm 

This could be an interesting fixture for Sevilla after a disappointing result and performance last time out on Monday evening at Alavés.

It's fair to say it was a rather underwhelming performance from both players and coach and in the end they were lucky to salvage a draw and a point to just about keep them in the title race.

I would imagine that they will be pretty determined to get back on a winning run in front of their own fans and of course we know that they have an impressive home record this season with 10 wins, one draw and only one defeat, against Barcelona.

However, it's new territory for Sevilla in so many ways. Nobody expected them to still be in this position at this stage of the season with a new coach and so many new players and it's so important that they retain that mental strength to continue their pursuit of the top two. Monday's performance looked a little bit jaded and stale.

They also have the distraction of the second leg of the Champions League fixture against Leicester City next Tuesday where they hold a slender 2-1 lead. This tie now looks more difficult than it did a couple of weeks ago!

They certainly have the numbers in the squad to cope with the fixtures, that's for sure, and I expect Sampaoli to mix it up a bit against Leganés.

Even with the expected changes Sevilla should have too much for Leganés, as long as they play well and are back to their vibrant self.

Leganés are a determined outfit and can be very aggressive which probably isn't ideal for Sevilla just before the Leicester game.

My observation of Leganés this season is that they are a team who don't convert a high enough ratio of chances that they create. They are five points clear of relegation and if they finish one point clear that will be a massive achievement. I personally believe they will be ok.

Incidentally, Leganés are the only club in the bottom eight who haven't sacked at least one manager this season. Valencia, Malaga and Osasuna have all sacked two.

They had realistic expectations of this season and have stuck with the boss who got them up in Asier Garitano and I believe they will be proved right to do so.

I'm going to go with the form in this game though and trust Sevilla to succeed. It could be tough but I'm going to go with them keeping a clean sheet and winning 2-0.

Best bet: Sevilla to win 2-0 - 6.25