Julien Laurens' Ligue 1 Betting: PSG Conquerers Lyon To Win Again As Marseille Finally Get A Home Victory


Marseille – Toulouse – Sunday 13:00 GMT

Marseille face Toulouse on Sunday afternoon, three days after beating fourth division Granville in the quarter finals of the French Cup (1-0). It was a good win for l’OM, who didn’t play last weekend because their game at Ajaccio was postponed due to the bad weather. It was good for them to have a little break after playing every three days for the last month or so. They were serious on Thursday evening against the minnows and now they can focus on this game. They need a win at home now.

Marseille have not won at the Vélodrome since September! It is an incredible run of draws and defeats at home for Michel’s men. They have a problem psychologically in playing in their own stadium. They are much more comfortable away from home. But they need points. They are only 13th in the table, far from the race for a top three finish, even with a game in hand. So they cannot afford not to win on Sunday afternoon against Toulouse. On top of their poor home record, they are also without a win in the league in their last five Ligue 1 matches (one defeat and four draws).

The visitors are in deep trouble though. They are now 19th, 10 points behind the first team outside the relegation zone. Their manager Dominique Arribagé resigned last weekend, so Toulouse have a new manager is Pascal Dupraz, the former Evian boss. He seems very enthusiastic and believes he can keep the team in the top flight.

He will need points straight away starting on Sunday. They know Marseile have been poor at home in the league this season so they believe they can do something there. However, I think that l’OM will finally win a home game and it will be against Toulouse.

The odds are massively in favour of Marseille with a home win at 1.68. A draw is at 3.75 and a Toulouse away win is at 5.25.

Michy Batshuayi is favourite to score first at 4.60. My best tip is Marseille to win both halves at 4.70.

Score prediction: Marseille 2 Toulouse 0 at 8.00

 

Lyon – Guingamp – Sunday 20:00 GMT

Lyon, who host Guingamp on Sunday evening at the Parc Gerland, did what no one else has done so far this season in Ligue 1: they beat PSG last weekend at home, the first defeat for the Parisians this campaign in the league.

It was a wonderful performance by l’OL, from start to finish, despite numerous players missing through suspensions or injuries. But the team played with a lot of commitment, desire, heart and talent. They dominated PSG almost from start to finish and always looked like winning the match. They forced PSG to have a bad game. Now, they need to keep the momentum and build on this fantastic win. They have everything for it. They have been playing very well since the turn of the year and the arrival of Bruno Genesio on the bench in replacement of Hubert Fournier. They haven’t always gotten a win but you could see how much they were improving. They were rewarded against PSG and are now third in the table.

Lyon are only eight points behind Monaco, who have a tricky game this weekend away at Caen. Lyon want to push them as hard as possible to try to snatch this second spot. So they need a win on Sunday against Guingamp. They have beaten them in the last two seasons at home as well.

For the visitors, it is a very difficult trip. They are 16th in the table and have not won any of their last four games (two defeats and two draws). They are only four points above Ajaccio who have a game in hand as well. So they are facing a big battle to stay up and every point will count now. They will have to defend better than in their last three games where they have conceded 10 goals! I think they will get beaten at Lyon though on Sunday.

The odds are massively in favour of Lyon with a home win at 1.46. The draw is at 4.25 and a Guingamp away win is at 7.50.

Alexandre Lacazette is favourite to score first at 4.00. My best tip is Lyon to win without conceding a goal at 2.25.

Score prediction: Lyon 3 Guingamp 0 at 10.00