Julien Laurens' Ligue 1 Betting: PSG To Power Past Poor Marseille


Monaco - Rennes - Sunday 13.00 GMT

Monaco continue their inconsistent season on Sunday by hosting Rennes, one of the surprise clubs of the campaign, at the Stade Louis II. L’ASM faced Tottenham on Thursday also at home in the Europa League and after their 1-1 draw, they will have to focus quickly back on the league again as the season is not going to plan at all so far. Their inconsistancy has put them only in 9th place in the table, and they have not been able to win two games in a row since the opening day of the season.

Every time they put on a good performance, they fall again in the next game. They beat Montpellier away from home (3-2) a week ago and were looking for to capitalise on it at Guingamp last weekend. They led three times but ended up dropping two very precious points in the last minute of the match (3-3). They are totally unpredictable. They have been scoring goals lately (eight in their last three games in Ligue 1) but they also have conceded eight. Their defence used to be their biggest strength but he has become a burden. They cannot defend anymore and the team is too unbalanced. They have kept only two clean sheets in eleven matches this season in all competitions.

FBL-FRA-LIGUE1-GUINGAMP-MONACO : News Photo

The return to the team of Jeremy Toulalan is a big boost, though. Monaco really missed him during his thigh injury and he will bring more solidity and stability to the defence. And even if they are scoring up front, Monaco are missing Anthony Martial massively since he moved to Manchester United. The other forwards (Carrillo, El Shaarawy, Cavaleiro) have not been good enough so far. And this is a tricky game for Monaco, even if they have a good record against Rennes (four wins and a draw in their last five encounters at Louis II).

The visitors are third in the table after a great start to the season. They are unbeaten in their last seven Ligue 1 games (four wins and three draws). They won away at Lyon already this season (2-1) but they have drawn their last three league games in a row, all 1-1 against Lille, Ajaccio and Troyes. But they will be up for this big game. They have rested all week and have prepared very well for their trip to the Stade Louis II. I think they will cause a big upset come Sunday afternoon. 

The odds are in favour of Monaco with a home win at 1.82. A draw is at 3.40 and a Rennes away win is at 4.80.

Guido Carrillo is favourite to score first at 5.60. My best tip is Rennes to score over 1.5 goals at 4.50.

Score prediction: Monaco 1 Rennes 2 at 19.00

 

PSG - Marseille - Sunday 20.00 GMT

This is the big clash of the weekend, the biggest game in French football. PSG and Marseille meet at the Parc des Princes on Sunday and Paris are the massive favourites. They won 3-0 away in Ukraine against Shakhtar in midweek in matchday 2 of the Champions League after being very efficient up front and solid defensively.

Their confidence is as high as possible and the players are approaching this game with a lot of excitement and momentum. They are still unbeaten so far this season in all competitions. They have won six league games so far for only two draws and have the best attack and best defence already in Ligue 1 on top of a four point lead over second place St Etienne.

It has been almost a perfect start of the season for PSG. Angel Di Maria has settled very well with two goals and three assists in his five Ligue 1 appearances so far, and the front three he forms with Cavani and Ibrahimovic is starting to be really impressive. Cavani is the league top scorer with six goals and has been PSG's best player so far while Ibra is slowly but surely coming back to his best after his injuries. He loves playing against Marseille and he is only one goal away from equalling Pauleta's all-time goal record for PSG (109). But defensively, the champions have been impressive too with Thiago Silva playing the best football of his career.

FBL-EUR-C1-SHAKHTAR-PSG : News Photo

PSG won't be scared by Marseille but won’t take this game for granted either, despite their great current record. They are unbeaten in their last nine encounters with their arch rivals, winning eight and drawing one and they have always scored at least two goals in each of those nine. The atmosphere at the Parc des Princes will be incredible once again.

On the other hand, Marseille have a mountain to climb if they want to get something out of this game. They have not won any of heir last three Ligue 1 matches and lost last weekend at home to minnows Angers (2-1), their fourth defeat of the season already.

They are only 15th in the table before this weekend and the crisis is not far off. On Sunday, they will be without Mendy who is suspended.  They played on Thursday evening in the Europa League at home against Slovan Liberec and sliped to a hugely embarrassing 1-0 defeat. They will have one day less to recover as well before this big clash and Marseille fans have decided not to travel to Paris. I think it could be a very long evening for Marseille on Sunday as PSG will be far too strong.

The odds are massively in favour of PSG with a home win at 1.37. The draw is at 4.50 and a Marseille away win is at 10.20.

Edinson Cavani is favourite to score first at 3.65 but my best tip is PSG to win both halves at 3.40.

Score prediction: PSG 2 OM 0 at 8.00