Newcastle v Tottenham: The stats suggest a goal fest with Kane and Gayle set to shine


Rafael Benitez and Newcastle welcome Mauricio Pochettino’s Tottenham to St James’ Park on Sunday with Spurs seeking revenge after losing 5-1 in this exact fixture in May 2016. But which team do the stats suggest will fare best?

 

Tottenham have played their last six opening day games away from home

Spurs are more than familiar with an away start. However, only two of their last six opening day games have ended in victory. On top of that, they haven’t managed to score more than a single goal in any of their last seven opening fixtures. Newcastle aren’t the best starters either - unless their opponents are Tottenham, that is. The Magpies’ only opening day victory in their last nine league seasons came in the form of a 2-1 win over Andre Villas-Boas’ Spurs in August 2012.

Newcastle are available at 5.35 to win

 

The sides have scored 14 goals between them in their last three Premier League encounters at St James’ Park

Sunday will see a repeat of Newcastle’s last Premier League fixture; Benitez’s already-relegated side thrashed Tottenham 5-1 on the final day of the 2015/16 campaign. In stark contrast, Pochettino’s men finished last season emphatically, scoring 13 goals in their final two games - both away from home against Leicester (6-1) and Hull City (7-1) respectively. Prior to their most recent away defeat to Newcastle, Spurs recorded successive victories at St James’ Park, winning 3-1 in 2014/15 and 4-1 the season before.

Over 4.5 total goals can be backed at 6.40



Of the last 10 meetings between Newcastle and Spurs in all competitions, each side has won five

The form book doesn’t really favour either side going into this one. Sure, Newcastle have won the last two encounters, but two of their last five defeats to Tottenham have been by a 4-0 scoreline; another was a 5-0 defeat at White Hart Lane in February 2012. As manager of Newcastle and Liverpool, Benitez has never lost a home game against Spurs in the Premier League, winning five and drawing three. His Magpies are bidding to become the first winners of the Championship to win their first match in the Premier League after promotion since Sunderland in August 2007.

Spurs are favourites to win at 1.69

 

Harry Kane has failed to score in any of his 10 Premier League appearances in August

Tottenham talisman Harry Kane encapsulated his team’s astonishing end to last season, scoring seven goals in the last two games on his way to a second successive Golden Boot. Kane found the net 29 times in 30 Premier League appearances last term, but didn’t bag his first goal until September 10th at Stoke City. Any success Spurs have this season is likely to coincide with Kane staying fit and in form. If the striker can banish his August hoodoo with a goal or two at Newcastle (he’s scored twice against them before), who knows how many he will tally by the end of the campaign.

Kane is 3.70 to open the scoring and 3.75 to be top scorer in the Premier League

 

Dwight Gayle averaged a goal every 93 minutes in the Championship last season

Only Leeds United striker Chris Wood (27) scored more goals than Dwight Gayle (23) in the Championship last term. Gayle’s record is even more impressive when you consider he didn’t rely on penalties to boost his figures (Wood scored five spot-kicks). It is perhaps ironic, then, that the 27-year-old scored from the penalty spot for Crystal Palace the last time he faced Tottenham in the top flight in January 2015, netting the equaliser in a 2-1 win at Selhurst Park in former Magpies boss Alan Pardew’s first Premier League game in charge of the Eagles. Gayle isn’t Newcastle’s designated spot-kick taker, but Spurs will remain wary of his threat in and around the box.

Gayle is 7.50 to score the first goal