Paolo Bandini's Serie A Betting: Hot Higuain To Lead Napoli To Roma Victory


Sunday

Chievo - Atalanta

If last week’s win over Frosinone helped to keep Chievo clear of the relegation scrap, then a victory over Atalanta could theoretically vault them back into the top-half before Christmas. The Flying Donkeys, however, do not have an encouraging recent track record against these opponents. They have failed to win any of their last four meetings with Atalanta, who have scored six times in their past three games.

Draw and both teams to score - 4.60

 

Empoli - Carpi

Confidence is growing at Carpi after two wins and a draw in their last three matches across all competitions. But they continue to ship too many goals - a situation not helped by the loss of centre-back Igor Bjubnic to a torn cruciate ligament at the end of last month.

Carpi have conceded 19 times in seven away games. Six of those matches have featured a total of at least three goals.

Over 2.5 goals - 2.23

 

Milan - Verona

This was supposed to be the easy stretch for Milan. Results had been looking up for the Rossoneri over the last couple of months, with only one defeat since early October - and that away to Juventus. Their last three matches of 2015 promised even better things - pitting them against the bottom three teams in the table.

Suffice to say, a dismal 0-0 draw away to Carpi last week was not quite what they had been hoping for. Milan still look disjointed too often under Sinisa Mihajlovic, but they have been hard to break down - conceding only three times in their last six games. And Verona, winless this season, have never beaten them at San Siro.

Home team to win without conceding - 2.00

 

Napoli - Roma

Napoli’s spell at the top proved to be short-lived, as they were blindsided by Bologna. And yet, there is no need to panic. Even the best teams can be permitted the odd misstep, and the Partenopei rebounded quickly to thrash Legia Warsaw 5-2 on Thursday, progressing through the Europa League group stage without having dropped a single point.

Roma are another matter entirely, winless in five games and so underwhelming against BATE Borisov on Wednesday that they were jeered by their own fans despite qualifying for the Champions League knockout phase. The return of Mohamed Salah may help, but I still don’t fancy their chances away to opponents who have won nine in a row at home across all competitions, and for whom Gonzalo Higuaín has hit the net in eight consecutive matches at the Stadio San Paolo.

Higuaín to score and Napoli to win - 2.50

 

Juventus - Fiorentina

This has been one of Serie A’s more lopsided rivalries, Fiorentina winning just once in their last 14 league meetings with Juventus, but the Viola find themselves in the rare position this time of looking down on the Bianconeri in the standings. Founded on a rock solid defence that has surrendered the fewest shots per game (8.4) of any team in the division, they have also scored eight more goals than their opponents.

Juventus, though, are on a roll right now - Tuesday’s Champions League defeat to Sevilla notwithstanding. They have won five in a row domestically, and manager Massimiliano Allegri has insisted that this match was always a greater priority.

Half-time/full-time: home/home - 2.70