Paolo Bandini's Serie A Betting: Juventus To Pass Inter Test And Frosinone Can Sink Sampdoria


Sunday

Palermo - Bologna

The rise and rise of Bologna under Roberto Donadoni continues, up to joint-ninth in the table after they ended Juventus’s 15-match winning run last weekend. In that context, a visit to 16th-placed Palermo ought to feel like child’s play.

Without a win in five matches, the Sicilians have conceded 12 goals in their last four. Six of those have gone in since veteran starting goalkeeper Stefano Sorrentino was injured against Torino a fortnight ago.

Away win - 2.80

 

Carpi - Atalanta

Second from bottom and without a victory in six matches, Carpi can take solace from knowing that this week’s opponents have lately been even more hapless. Although nine points ahead of their hosts in the standings, Atalanta’s last success was 11 matches ago.  

But a lengthy absence for Mauricio Pinilla damaged them during that stretch, and the Chilean marked his third start back from injury with a goal and an assist in last week’s defeat to Fiorentina. Against opponents who have conceded 43 times in 26 games, he is a man to keep an eye on.

Pinilla to score - 3.65

 

Chievo - Genoa

A defeat in the derby was a further blow to the morale of Chievo, who have now lost four of their last six, but with eight points and six teams still separating them from the relegation zone, they ought not to be panicking just yet.

Both they and Genoa have been shorn of their most dangerous striker. Chievo sold Alberto Paloschi to Swansea last month, while Leonardo Pavoletti is out injured for the visitors. Blunted up front, and well aware that a draw could edge them each closer to safety, I can quite imagine both teams approaching this game cautiously.

Draw - 3.10

 

Sampdoria - Frosinone

Where once the Sampdoria owner Massimo Ferrero spoke of Champions League aspirations, now his club is battling simply to preserve its place in the top-flight. Lose on Sunday, and the Blucerchiati will fall into the relegation zone.

The good news for Ferrero is that Frosinone have won just a single away game all season. The bad news is that it was their last one, while Samp have not beaten anybody anywhere for eight matches. Their squad is stronger than that of their opponents, but their performances lately have not been. To me, the odds for this game look unbalanced.

Draw no bet: away win - 4.40

 

Udinese - Verona

They say it’s the hope that kills you. A month ago, Verona had none as they sat winless at the foot of the Serie A table. Two triumphs later, they remain last in the standings but suddenly do not look so far adrift. The Scaligeri are still seven points from safety, but their form over the last six matches is the best of any team in the bottom half of the table.

In contrast, Udinese’s last eight matches have yielded a total of three points. Verona have triumphed on both of their last two visits to the Friuli, and Luca Toni - back in form after scoring in each of his past two games - has put eight goals past these opponents in his career.

Toni to score and Verona to win - 6.50

 

Juventus - Inter

A month after they were thrashed 3-0 at Juventus Stadium in the first leg of their Coppa Italia semi-final, Inter return seeking revenge but more importantly an opportunity to reinvigorate their bid for a Champions League berth.

It would be easy to dismiss their hopes after such an emphatic defeat last time out, but they will be better rested than their opponents - who gave a lot in their midweek draw with Bayern Munich. Juventus will also be missing the injured Claudio Marchisio. Into his role steps Hernanes, a player whom Inter know all too well, and who has mostly struggled since moving between these clubs in the summer.

The Nerazzurri will have a very different attack this time, too, with Mauro Icardi and Eder expected to start in place of Stevan Jovetic and Adem Ljajic. The former has a strong track record of scoring against Juve, and can at least make this a more uncomfortable evening for the Old Lady.

Home team to win and both teams to score - 4.30