Paolo Bandini's Serie A Betting: Surprising Sassuolo Look Good Value


Saturday

Atalanta - Inter

FC Internazionale Milano v US Sassuolo Calcio - Serie A : News Photo

After suffering just two defeats in their first 16 games, Inter have now lost twice more in their last three. It might not be time panic just yet, but the Nerazzurri could certainly do with a win to put them back on track in what remains a ferociously competitive race not only for the title, but also a place in the top three.

The Atalanta team they face has lost four in a row, but did just sign Alessandro Diamanti on loan - a crucial addition to an attack that has struggled in Mauricio Pinilla’s absence. The hosts have been fragile at the back, conceding seven times in three matches, but his arrival may at least improve their capacity to hit back at the other end.

Over 2.5 goals - 2.17

 

Torino - Frosinone

A once promising season is rapidly going up in smoke for Torino, down to joint-14th and winless in the league since November. But at least the club’s directors are not sitting idly by. By securing the return of Ciro Immobile, who scored 22 goals for the club in 2013-14, on loan from Sevilla, they have delivered a timely boost to morale.

Will it be more than that? Immobile has not exactly set the world alight since he left, scoring three times in 24 Bundesliga appearances for Borussia Dortmund and then two in eight La Liga matches for Sevilla. Charming though it would be to see him return in triumph, and poor though Frosinone have been on their travels, I find the odds on the home win too short in the context of Torino’s recent results.

Draw - 5.50

 

Napoli - Sassuolo

Extraordinary but true: if you were to make a mini-league out of Serie A’s top six teams - excluding their results against everyone else - then Sassuolo would be top of the table. The Neroverdi have beaten Napoli, Juventus and Inter so far in this campaign, and drawn with Roma and Fiorentina.

A visit to the Stadio San Paolo represents their most daunting challenge yet. Napoli are unbeaten on their own turf and arrive at close to full strength, whereas Sassuolo are missing both Domenico Berardi and starting centre-back Paolo Cannavaro through suspension. The most likely result is a home win. But if you’re asking me what the value bet is, then I’d have to say that the odds on an upset - given how well Sassuolo done against the best teams - look generous to me.

Draw no bet: away win - 8.00

 

Look out for Paolo's tips for Sunday's games over the weekend