Catania 2.20, the draw 3.50, Atalanta 3.25
The inquest has already begun at Catania, who posted their joint-highest finish in club history last season, only to drop out of the top-flight altogether this time around. Consecutive wins over the last two weeks have only rendered more acute the sense of underachievement.
And Catania have a good chance to make it three out of three this weekend, against opponents who are expected to be without injured centre-backs Guglielmo Stendardo and Stefano Lucchini. The home win is a decent option at 2.20.
Genoa 4.85, the draw 3.70, Roma 1.75
For Roma, a sensational season ends on an understated note. Two consecutive defeats have taken the wind out of the Giallorossi’s sails, but the overall verdict on this season remains entirely positive. A second-place finish, achieved with a record points tally, represents an excellent return for Rudi Garcia’s first year in charge.
Genoa long ago achieved their minimum target, preserving their top-flight status for another year. Since then they have dropped down several gears, collecting just two points from their last seven games. They will have a hard time improving on that number here, with both Alberto Gilardino and Luca Antonelli suspended. Away win (1.75).
Juventus 1.20, the draw 6.80, Cagliari 13.00
Juventus need just one more point to reach 100 for the season. Frankly it is hard to imagine them taking anything less than all three. The Bianconeri have won all of their 18 games so far at Juventus Stadium, and 15th-placed Cagliari are hardly the team to put an end to such a run.
Back the hosts to win without conceding at odds of 1.82. Juventus have the best defensive record in the division, while their opponents have scored just 10 away goals all season.
Milan 1.22, the draw 6.00, Sassuolo 10.00
Sassuolo’s win over Milan in January was one of the stories of the season, as 19-year-old Domenico Berardi struck four goals to sink the Rossoneri. That defeat marked the end of Massimiliano Allegri’s three-and-a-half year managerial tenure. His successor, Clarence Seedorf, might lose his job regardless of how this return fixture finishes up.
Milan still have hope of a Europa League berth, but would need to win while both Torino and Parma slip up. I am not confident that they will even manage the first part of that equation. Sassuolo reached safety last week, but have the chance to end a fine season on an even higher note. They are priced generously in the double-chance market at 3.75.
Chievo 4.30, the draw 3.45, Inter 1.90
It might not mean much for the league standings, but this game still holds plenty of symbolic significance. This is the moment when Inter's treble-winners Javier Zanetti, Diego Milito and Walter Samuel pass on the baton to younger colleagues like Mateo Kovacic and Mauro Icardi.
Those departing players will be keen to bow out with a win, but I am more tempted to try the unders at 2.02. None of Chievo’s last three home games have featured more than a single goal.
Fiorentina 3.85, the draw 3.85, Torino 1.90
Did Torino blow their chance at European football last weekend? A goal up against Parma with 20 minutes left to go, they were on course to seal sixth place until Jonathan Biabiany snatched an equaliser. Worse yet, Torino striker Ciro Immobile – Serie A’s leading goalscorer this season – collected a booking that has led to him being suspended for this game.
Conversely, Fiorentina could finally get their best strike partnership back on the field. After three encouraging substitute appearances, Giuseppe Rossi is in contention to start his first game in four months. Mario Gomez is close to making it back from the knee injury that he suffered in March. Even without the German, Fiorentina would be worth backing at odds as long as 3.85.
Lazio 1.48, the draw 4.55, Bologna 6.75
There will be no European football for Lazio next season. The Biancocelesti could theoretically catch up to sixth-place Torino, but would lose out on any head-to-head tie-breaker.
They ought to win anyway against relegated opponents, although much will depend on the motivations of both sets of players. If anything, I might back Lazio to keep a clean sheet at 2.23. Bologna have scored just eight times in 15 games since selling Alessandro Diamanti in February.
Napoli 1.45, the draw 4.65, Verona 6.80
Napoli will play their final game of the season to a crowd of 10,000 schoolchildren. Authorities had previously ordered that the game take place behind closed doors, punishing the Partenopei for the behaviour of their fans before the Coppa Italia final.
Verona will be grateful not to face the usual hostile atmosphere at the Stadio San Paolo. The visitors could still sneak into Europe with a win and help from elsewhere, so at the very least they ought to be motivated. At 6.80, the Verona victory might just be worth a punt.
Parma 1.20, the draw 7.00, Livorno 15.00
Of all the teams chasing Italy’s final Europa League place, Parma have by far the easiest fixture this weekend. They should have no trouble dispatching a Livorno team that has sunk to the foot of the table, losing all of its last six games.
Winning alone is not enough for the Ducali, who must also hope that Torino drop points against Fiorentina. But at the very least I expect them to hold up their end of the bargain. Back Parma to win with a one-goal handicap at 1.70.
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