Roma 1.40, the draw 4.80, Torino 8.50 (BET and WATCH live on Unibet TV from 19.45 GMT)
Two of Italy’s most promising young forwards square off at the Stadio Olimpico on Tuesday. After finding the net against Chievo at the weekend, Roma’s Mattia Destro has improved his strike rate to one goal every 96 minutes this season. Torino’s Ciro Immobile, meanwhile, sits joint-top of the Serie A scoring charts with 16 goals. Both players are making a strong case for inclusion in Cesare Prandelli’s Italy squad this summer.
But it is Immobile whom I would back to get his name on the scoresheet this Tuesday. Although Roma have conceded just four goals at home all season, they go into this fixture without Mehdi Benatia at centre-back or Kevin Strootman in midfield. To me, odds of 4.80 seem just a little bit too tempting.
WEDNESDAY (BET and WATCH all matches live on Unibet TV from 19.45 GMT)
Atalanta 1.80, the draw 3.50, Livorno 5.00
For the first time since December 1995, Atalanta have won four Serie A games in a row. One more would set a new club record, as well as nudging them one step closer to matching their all-time highest top-flight points tally (52). With one of the best home records in the division, and Giacomo ‘Gentleman Jack’ Bonaventura creating chance after chance down the left flank, I find it hard to look past the home win.
Cagliari 2.05, the draw 3.35, Verona 3.80
A month ago, Verona’s fans were dreaming of an improbable Europa League berth. After Sunday’s 5-0 defeat to Sampdoria – their third loss in as many games – they might simply be hoping to get through the remainder of the season without further embarrassment. With 40 points, Andrea Mandorlini’s side are effectively safe from relegation already, but the sale of Jorginho to Napoli in January has markedly damaged their side.
Nevertheless, they are quite capable of getting something from this game against opponents who have won just twice in their last 14 games. The draw is a good price at 3.35.
Catania 4.80, the draw 3.65, Napoli 1.78
Catania put in one of their more determined performances of the season on Sunday, battling hard against Juventus before finally succumbing to a lone second-half goal from Carlos Tevez. But there are no moral victories when your team is bottom of the division. The Sicilians need points, fast, and will not have things much easier here against third-placed Napoli.
Rafael Benítez’s side did lose to Fiorentina at the weekend, and have been weakened by a fresh suspension to Faouzi Ghoulam plus injury to Dries Mertens, but any risk of complacency might also have been eliminated after their lead over fourth place was cut to seven points. Away win.
Chievo 2.10, the draw 3.20, Bologna 3.80
Bologna leapfrogged Chievo at the weekend, beating Cagliari after the Flying Donkeys had lost to Roma, but roles could be reversed once again after this encounter. The visitors remain toothless up front since the departure of Alessandro Diamanti, and got their only goal in Sunday’s victory from the penalty spot.
But they have also lost just once in their past four games, becoming more adept, at least, at self-preservation. The draw feels like a probable outcome to me.
Fiorentina 2.20, the draw 3.40, Milan 3.45
For Fiorentina, good news only ever seems to be followed by bad. Sunday’s victory over Napoli ought to have provided Vincenzo Montella’s side with a major morale boost heading into the final stretch of this campaign, but another knee injury for striker Mario Gómez – one that will keep him out for at least three or four weeks – has rather taken the wind out of their sails.
Still, that news will be received gratefully by Milan’s Clarence Seedorf, who finds himself under pressure already to produce improved results if he wants to hang onto his job. Curiously, the Rossoneri have not lost away to Fiorentina in seven meetings across all competitions. I might take the draw once again.
Genoa 3.00, the draw 3.20, Lazio 2.55
Away games might feel like welcome respite to Lazio these days, with the home ones overshadowed by the enduring hostility between Ultras and management. The Biancocelesti are clinging on to hopes of a Europa League return next season, but achieving that goal is not made easier by having your own fans either abusive or absent.
They travel to Genoa without former Grifone midfielder Francelino Matuzalem, who injured his calf during the draw with Milan, but high on confidence after three wins in five games. I like the away win.
Juventus 1.33, the draw 5.25, Parma 10.00
Serie A’s two most in-form teams meet at Juventus Stadium. The hosts might be strolling away to a third consecutive league title, but Parma are unbeaten in 17 games. In fact, Roberto Donadoni’s side have not lost a league game since they were defeated 1-0 at home by Juventus all the way back in November.
Could they be capable of improving on that result in Turin? It is certainly a tall order, yet it is also true that the champions have not been at their very best lately. The draw offers good enough returns to be worth a punt at 5.25.
Sassuolo 2.70, the draw 3.30, Sampdoria 2.70
Domenico Berardi returns from his three-game suspension for Sassuolo, and not a moment too soon. His goalscoring talents are urgently required against opponents who put five past Verona at the weekend.
Sassuolo have failed to score in five of their last seven games, although fans might wonder how things could have been different if Berardi had been around to take the penalty that Sergio Floccari struck against the post in Udine on Sunday. Between his return and Sampdoria’s recent run of high-scoring games, I am actually tempted to try the overs, available at a generous 2.20.
Inter 1.65, the draw 3.75, Udinese 5.75
Sunday’s loss to Atalanta pretty well have summed up the season for Inter, who struck the woodwork four times en route to a 2-1 defeat. They have been denied by post and crossbar a combined 17 times this season – more than any other side in the league. But if such missed opportunities are frustrating, then they are also indicative of the improvement in Walter Mazzarri’s side, who I am backing to win without conceding on Thursday at odds of 2.60.