European Tour Golf Betting: Stenson Can Repeat 2013 Heroics in Dubai


Wrapping up the European Tour season is the lucrative DP World Tour Championship from the Earth Course in Dubai.

One for the bombers this week as the last two winners - Henrik Stenson and Rory McIlroy - may suggest, and when you see Alvaro Quiros in the history books, it backs up that theory. 

The top 60 available players from the Race To Dubai will compete in the $8 million event.

While Rory McIlroy - 5.50 - has already sewn up the Harry Vardon Trophy for the second time, the $5million bonus pool distributed to the eventual top 15 in the standings is an added incentive to finish the season strongly. The DP World Tour Championship is a non-cut event.

 

The Course - Earth Course at Jumeirah Estates

Boasting generous landing areas and measuring in at an impressive 7,695 yards in length, the term "Grip it n' rip" it applies for the season finale.

I'd be looking to pretty much rule out any short hitters winning this event from the get go. I'm sure Ian Poulter - 19.00 - wouldn't mind the tag of possible the exception to the rule.

White soft sandy bunkering features throughout and around large undulating greens with tricky pin positions. Surfaces will be slick, running over 12" on the stimpmeter and they feature subtle breaks, hard to read.

Rough has been overseeded with Rye but emphasis here is predominantly on power off  the tee allowing a higher, shorter ball flight and spin control to attack these flag sticks. Birdies will be the brief.

 

Three from the pack

#1 Henrik Stenson - 9.00 - returns to the scene of a field blitzing in 2013 where the former Dubai resident hit an astonishing tournament record 25 under par to win by 6.

It was capped off by the official "shot of the 2013 season" into 18, when Henrik added the race to Dubai Title to the Playoffs title on the US Tour. Stenson is about to explode current form wise, closing out with a final round 64 in Turkey to record a solo third, despite short putting and water trouble throughout the tournament. Having also been married here in Dubai, It's a home away from home for the Swede and I expect him to be the man to beat.

 

#2 Victor Dubuisson - 19.00 or 4.75 - is another that played his best stuff at this time of year in 2013 with a win in Turkey followed by a third place here on the Earth Course in Dubai.

Jumeirah Golf Estates is a place that surely suits a golfer averaging 300 yards off the tee with close to 75% GIR since he's been on tour. The flat stick has been good to the Frenchman as well in 2014 and he owns a putting average of 29.49. Like Stenson, Dubuisson closed with a 64 in Turkey, rallying after a very poor opening 77.

 

#3 Stephen Gallacher - 67.00 or 13.00 - is the man from the pack that may put up a challenge to the market leaders this week.

The Scot has won back to back titles in this part of the world the last two years in the form of the Dubai Desert Classic so will no doubt be feeling optimistic. Stephen is showing progressive 36-24-15 current form and is sneaky long, averaging just under the 300 yard mark. Like Dubuisson, he also boasts a strong GIR% and for the first time in 6 years his putting average is below 30.00. Stevie G has a modest record on the Earth course and look for him to potentially end the season with a bang.

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