European Tour Golf Betting: Molinari Primed For Victory At China Open


It's a new venue for this week's 20th edition of the Volvo China Open. Brett Rumford - 67.00 - will defend at Genzon GC - a track that will be little known to many of the Europeans in the field. With no course form to go on, the opening prices of the guys towards the top of the market appear to offer some value. 

To get their hands on the trophy though, they will have to finish ahead of last year's Race to Dubai Champion Henrik Stenson - 8.50 - who headlines the field alongside Ian Poulter - 11.00, a man that often excels in this part of the world. Jason Dufner - 13.00 - makes the trip from the US and is the big marquee name from the States.

 

The course - Genzon GC

Playing just 7,145 yards to a par of 72, the Genzon track looks to be a similar style layout and test to the Kuala Lumpur G & CC. A tree-lined, parkland type track built around a lake and featuring numerous hazards (sand and water), Genzong features lengthy par threes, short par fives and 1 drivable par 4; again there will be a premium on total driving ability and the bigger hitters may thrive. Expect the leaderboard to have a familiar look to last week.

 

Three from the pack

Francesco Molinari is a surprisingly big price relative to the higher end of the market field for me at 23.00. The Italian's recent results may not show it but he is carrying some hidden form into the event off the back of a fast start at Augusta and a nice finish in Malaysia, where he carded a 68 on Sunday. Francesco could be forgiven for a poor opening 54 in Malaysia after the trip from a draining Masters' week, when he fell away disappointingly. Genzon looks to set up perfectly for Molinari, who excels from tee to green with driving accuracy and distance control.

Nicolas Colsaerts - 23.00 - found his feet last week on a return to the European Tour. A lot of guys have made the move recently to the US and for whatever reason, it hasn't worked out. Ross Fisher is arguably the best example here, and Ross, on his return, got back into the winners circle in South Africa. Nico will be looking to do the same on his comeback to a region with happy memories, having taken down this event in Luxehills three years ago. Confidence will be restored after a T2 last week and the "Belgian Bomber" has the ability to overpower the par fives on this track.

After the "scariest moment" of his life last week where eccentric Spaniard Pablo Larrazabal - 26.00 - was attacked by Hornets and jumped into a lake for 'safety', he recovered from an opening 74 to close with a 67 and post a top ten finish. Larrazabal is already a winner this year having claimed the prestigious HSBC Golf Champions event in Abu Dhabi and looks like he's about to explode into form once more. Pablo has found the putting touch again averaging 28.3putts per round in 2014 and can roll in the birdies around Genzon.

 

Sleeper Watch

A couple of poor recent final round Sundays have Scott Jamieson 126.00 - completely under the radar this week. It's 78-75 finishes for the Scot in his last two outings, where the a similar move in the opposite direction would have seen him carding top five finishes. His game seems to be almost there and Jamieson has the ability to crush the par fives at Genzon GC with a concoction of driving and flat stick ability.