Scottish Open betting: Take the scattergun approach on big odds as local lads offer the best value


Scottish Open betting market and overview

We have another new course on the rotation for the 4th of this year's Rolex Series events as the Dundonald Links takes centre stage for the Scottish Open. Three more spots will be available for the Open Championship here. Kyle Phillips is the designer of the Dundonald track and the likes of Kingsbarns - one of the easiest seaside tracks on the schedule - falls under his designership.

This year sees a stellar field line up ahead of Royal Birkdale with the likes of Patrick Reed - 21.00 - Matt Kuchar - 21.00 - and Adam Scott - 17.00 - coming across early from the PGA Tour. Former Gullane Scottish Open winner and links efficient Rickie Fowler pips an out of sorts Rory McIlroy at the head of the market though. Two Swedes are behind them in the betting at 15.00; Henrik Stenson is much fancied for next week's Open Championship but it's Alex Noren who is being touted as a sneaky dark horse down there. Alex is of course the defending Scottish Open champion from Castle Stuart in 2016. Tyrell Hatton - 41.00 - was runner up in the Scottish Open last year and he's been a little out of form lately but an albatross followed by a hole in one in practice may be signs of form coming back for the Englishman.

 

The Course - Dundonald Links: par 72, 7,100 yards

It's another new links course to research but from the flyover it looks pretty similar to last week's test in Ireland. There looks to be a bit of room for error off the tees before finding the thick fescue or gorse, while the greens look pretty flat and accommodating from pictures. Conditions were benign in Portstewart and the surfaces were soft and smooth making for low scoring. Staying out of the pot bunkers that line the fairways and surround the green may prove key. Plenty of birdies will be available if the Kyle Phillips - Kingsbarns link rings true, and of course if the elements behave.

 

Scottish Open Ones To Watch

Again I've no real strong fancies this week in the outright market so I'm going to go for a bit of a scattergun approach on some bigger odds. Andy Sullivan - 41.00 - may be worth sticking with as he is showing some progressive form, and I mentioned Tyrell Hatton earlier.

A big home hope this week is Russell Knox who the course should suit. Knox has no real form of late but at a quote 67.00 he may be worth looking at on a links track. He owns some high finishes at short, coastal, windy tracks like Harbour Town, and in Mayakoba.

Another home boy making the staking plan this week is Richie Ramsay - 67.00 - who is in fine form according to his Twitter, and he backed it up in Ireland with a T2. Ramsay had forgotten about the Open championship berth's which came as a bonus. He talked about Ireland having a special place in his heart and about how he was looking forward to going home and seeing his partner. It seems like life is good for Ramsay and he will feel as if he is freerolling. The Scot talked about going all out for the win and with a similar test this week he could be one to watch.


 

Scottish Open Rank Outsiders

I'm going to sprinkle a few bets this week around in the sub markets as there are a lot of lesser names coming into form that are off the radar pricewise. All are worth a look in the top 10 and 20 and first round leader markets as well as the outright:

David Drysdale - 101.0 - is in fine progressive trending form right now off the back of a T16 in France followed by a top four finish in Scotland which earned him one of the Open spots. Confidence is sky high, demonstrated by a seven birdie in a row haul to finish in style and propel himself up the Irish Open leaderboard.

Englishmen Oliver Fisher and Matthew Southgate (both 151.0) are peaking with the former showing a progressive 79-50-10 form line, and the latter coming off a T2 in Ireland where he talked about finding something in his short game and also a new found go to shot off the tee for links conditions.

It's been a terrible season for talented prospect Callum Shinkwin - 201.0 - so far but a top 30 last week showed positive signs. If you believe in your bio - rhythms, Shinkwin hit back to back tops 10s this time last year in France and Scotland, closing with a 65 in Castle Stuart.

Speaking of Stuart's, Duncan Stewart - 351.0 - is another home man that hit a bit of form in Ireland and could also be a bit of value in the sub markets.