Monaco GP preview: Kimi Raikkonen's odds rise as his losing streak goes on

When are Kimi Raikkonen's fortunes going to turn around?

It's now more than four years since the 2007 world champion's last grand prix victory. Since then he's had race-winning equipment at his disposal more often than not, and he does again this year, but he hasn't been able to capitalise on any opportunities to win.

The intervening four years have not been without misfortune. Last week's race in Spain was an obvious example: pinched in between Valtteri Bottas and Max Verstappen at the start, Raikkonen was blameless for the contact which put him out of the race.

But the stark facts of his season to date are as follows: He has been out-qualified by his team mate Sebastian Vettel at every single round. And while Vettel has finished every race either first or second, Raikkonen has not managed a single top-two finish.

Is this losing streak going to come to an end? Could it happen at Monaco, where Raikkonen last won back in 2005? The rewards are generous if you're thinking of backing him. He is the sixth-favourite to win on odds of 17.0.

There are a couple of reasons to give this serious thought. Mercedes have been fractionally faster than Ferrari so far but much of their advantage still comes from the power unit, which will not be as important around the slow and tight Monaco track. 

Mercedes have the longest car on the grid and that is also expected to put them at a disadvantage this weekend. Pirelli has also lowered the minimum tyre pressures for Monaco, a change which is also expected to work against Mercedes and help Ferrari.

But even if Ferrari does have the most competitive car Raikkonen still has to beat his team mate. Or at least hope that Vettel suffers some of Ferrari's periodic unreliability, as Raikkonen did in this race last year.


More Monaco odds

Two of last year's results also make for interesting betting options 12 months on. The 2016 pole sitter Daniel Ricciardo is on 15.0 to take pole again. If the Red Bull looks quick on Thursday this could be worth a shot.

And Sergio Perez, who took a shock podium finish last year, is on 20.0 for another top three finish. He was fourth at the last race in Spain but that owed a lot to other cars retiring on the first lap. He'll need a big slice of luck to pull off that kind of result again.


Alonso's Indy win odds slashed

One former Monaco Grand Prix winner who won't be on the grid this year is Fernando Alonso. He's caused a sensation by snubbing F1's most famous race to take on the Indianapolis 500.

Alonso was originally priced at 9.0 to win. However since qualifying an excellent fifth in the 33-strong field the two-time world champion's odds have been cut to just 5.0

Keith Collantine is the editor of Formula One blog F1 Fanatic