We’ll talk about Windsor in a minute, but as this column is being written on a Saturday for a change, I thought I would share my thoughts on the day’s big race – the £250,000 Ebor at York.
Although I understand that on form Pallasator (3.50pm) is the form selection, I just can’t see how he is as short as 4/1.
Unibet are going 9/2 on the Sir Mark Prescott gelding, but I would want at least double those odds if I were to consider backing the top weight here.
With 19 horses taking him on, and with space at a premium around the top two bends and, if they go to the far side, in the straight itself, you could see this strong galloping sort being caught behind a few horses before challenging inside the final furlong.
I just have a feeling that we may be saying that he ‘should have won’ – he just seems the type of horse that needs an unrelenting gallop, and then one long steady run. He will get the former, but the latter may be more difficult to achieve. I think he’ll place, but I fancy one here at a big price.
My money is on Van Percy at 14/1 with Unibet. This gelding has the Melbourne Cup as a long term aim in November, but the way he won at Newmarket recently marked him down as likely contender for this race. Like the Melbourne Cup, horses in the Ebor need to lie handy, and also stay – and this fellow ticks both those boxes. He is also in the form of his life and goes on the ground. I suggest an each way bet too.
Windsor has its final summer meeting before its late summer break that doesn’t see racing at the Royal Berkshire track until the first Monday in October.
The headline race is the Group Three Winter Stakes at 6.45pm. This looks between the top two in the market. Al Kazeem has won at the highest level – including at Royal Ascot – and with trainer Roger Charlton saying that he would need his reappearance following injury at Newbury, it was no surprise that the six year old did need it, having looked likely to collect with a two furlongs to go.
He should just have too much class for the Godolphin three year old, Dante placed True Story, and maximum bet at 10/11 with Unibet is suggested.
Finally, the very next race at Windsor is the listed August Stakes over 1 mile 3 furlongs at 7.15pm. Mark Johnston doesn’t end too many down to the Thameside track and hint should be taken – take his Sennockian Star to complete a double having won a big handicap at Glorious Goodwood. He’s 100/30 with Unibet.