Tom Lee's Windsor Races Tips: Godolphin Filly No Delusion To Give Appleby Another Win


Picturesque Windsor on a Monday night. 

If you enjoy your racing then surely there isn't a more perfect way to wipe away any lingering traces of back-to-school reluctance, than with a couple of well chosen darts aimed firmly at the bookmakers. 

They kick-off at 5.55pm, but with a novice and a maiden providing the amuse bouche on the card, we'll wait for something more substantial to be served before dipping in with an investment, waiting for the extended mile Class 5 Boodles Diamond Handicap at 6.55pm. 

If you turn to page 33 of today's Racing Post you'll see not only a photograph of a racing pundit who bears a startling resemblance to Mr Bean, but also a list of Unibet's excellent Windsor specials. 

One of which is the eye-catching choice to price boost every Richard Hughes' mount on tonight's card, which in the case of the 6.55 race is second favourite Divine Law.  

'Hughesie' rides Windsor better than pretty much anyone, and gets the leg-up here on a massively in-form contender who is chasing a quick-fire course and distance hat-trick. 

Doubtless plenty of punters will row in with him to get the job done, but if you watched Divine Law win seven days ago you'll know that the re-opposing Godolphin filly No Delusion was flying at the death in that contest, and could well reverse the placings this evening. 

Slowly into stride and then held up, she was left with a bit too much to do as the race unfolded, but while Divine Law is burdened with a six pound penalty tonight, No Delusion gets to line up off the same mark as last week, 75.  

She was a winner at Lingfield back in February, and also has a fantastic piece of form in the book from her juvenile season, getting to within a length of the might of Cursory Glance at Kempton. 

Albeit she was probably flattered by that form, but nonetheless it's a formidable notch to have on the bedpost, and one which strongly suggests she ought to be able to win a handicap off her current rating. 

Her trainer, Charlie Appleby, continues to bang in the winners, with another six inside the last 10 days.

On the subject of Appleby, he also has the red-hot favourite for the evening's big race, with the betting for the £37,000 listed Weatherbys Private Banking Leisure Stakes topped by his 112-rated Pretend. 

Appleby wants to use this as a springboard for a tilt at Royal Ascot's King's Stand Stakes with Pretend in a fortnight or so, and his rapid improver has made a huge name for himself on the all-weather, taking the Unibet Sprint Championships Conditions Stakes at Lingfield Park on Good Friday. 

The big question here though is whether he can be equally effective on the turf?

Stablemate Tryster flopped when attempting a similar transition at Sandown last week, and at relatively short odds in a hot race the percentage call is to reject.

Instead, I'm going to chance my arm with a pair of each way recommendations at big prices...

Three years on the bounce this race has gone the way of the horse jumping from stall one, so you'd imagine that Newmarket handler Rae Guest was none too distressed upon learning his Oasis Dream mare Minalisa had been allotted the plum berth.    

She hasn't come to be rated 102 by mistake, and has some excellent form in the book, benefitting from an enterprising piece of placing by her shrewd trained when winning a listed race at Naas last July, and then following that up with a corking run when second at 33/1 in the Ayr Gold Cup.  

She has won first time out before now, and as a mare receives a decent weight allowance. 

She looks more than reasonably priced at 16/1 with Unibet. 

I also can't allow fellow female Lucky Kristale to go unbacked. 

George Margarson's filly is drawn on the other side in gate 15, but it's worth recalling that last year's third in this event, Professor, came from that very stall, and for a plethora of reasons she looks over-priced.. 

As a two-year-old Lucky Kristale won not one but two Group 2's at tonight's six furlong trip, and she could well return to those giddy heights now connections have abandoned their quest to make her into a miler. 

To be fair, she went off just 14/1 for the Guineas last year, but it's at shorter trips that her explosive turn of foot is seen to best effect, and with a pair of runs under her belt and a pair of first time blinkers employed, she could easily play a part here.

She too gets a handy weight allowance from the boys, and looks a bit of value at the 14's available each way with Unibet.  

Good luck!

 

Monday night's best bets at Windsor:

6.55 - Boodles Diamond Handicap - 3 No Delusion (win) 5/2

7.25 - Weatherbys Private Banking Leisure Stakes - 14 Lucky Kristale (each way) 14/1

7.25 - Weatherbys Private Banking Leisure Stakes - 15 Minalisa (each way) 16/1