Windsor Races Betting: Tom Lee's Bank Holiday Monday Tips


A bumper bank holiday crowd are expected at Windsor for this afternoon's seven race card, and conditions looks ideal for some entertaining sport.

It's an earlier than usual kick-off time, with the first due off at 12.45pm, at a venue where Clerk of the Course Jeff Green has been busy marshalling a watering programme to ensure perfect ground, with this morning's bulletin given as Good to Firm (Good in places) after between five and seven millimetres were applied to the track on Friday and Saturday. 

Those hard-working groundstaff stopped watering at 2pm on Saturday, and just a shade over 48 hours later we'll loosen the purse strings, with a wager in the five furlong 0-85 handicap sprint at 2.20pm. 

At the time of writing the Unibet odds compilers are laying 5/4 about market leader Francisco, who arrives here off the back of a scrambled seven furlong all-weather maiden win at Lingfield at the end of last month. 

Windsor Races : News Photo

This afternoon he drops in back markedly in trip, and also experiences running on turf for the first time, and at those relatively cramped odds he looks worth taking on with sprint wizard Robert Cowell's Royal Appluase colt Just Us Two.

Not only is he already a comprehensive winner at today's five furlong distance, when scoring on his final run of last season in maiden company at Nottingham, but he also has three good turf runs in the bank last season.

It's the second of those that provides the most encouragement....in mid-September Cowell sent Just Us Two to Sandown Park to contest another maiden sprint as an unconsidered 25/1 shot, but the horse evidently didn't know his price as he bustled up John Gosden's Waady, finishing a length second in the hands of today's pilot Freddie Tylicki. 

It's now clear what a fantastic run that was at Sandown, as Waady went on to win both his next two starts, and was last seen live on Channel 4 putting in a herculean effort in listed company at Newbury last weekend, rated 101!

With that in mind, you can see why an opening mark of 80 for Just Us Two could underestimate what he's capable of as he begins life in handicap company today.

Unibet are offering him at a very reasonable 7/2.

Windsor Races : News Photo

The other opening for an investment on the card comes in the lucky last at 4.05pm, another 0-85 sprint but this time for the older horses and over six furlongs, where the 2013 winner of this race Trojan Rocket could well bounce back to form.

Indeed his only previous experience of Windsor is a victory, and he has enticing prospects of enhancing that record today.

Racing from a mark of 83 (won this off 78 two years ago), he has progressed significantly on the all-weather in the subsequent period, winning five times and finding himself elevated to a mark in the mid-90's.

That his shrewd trainer Michael Wigham should want to try and exploit his much lower turf mark on a track where's he's unbeaten makes perfect sense, and it's worth remembering he won a Class 2 Handicap at Chelmsford in January rated 93.

With zero concerns about fitness, track, trip or ground, an excellent jockey booked in the shape of George Baker (who knows him well and has won on him twice previously), and with an advantage to be gleaned from his lower turf rating, the 8/1 available each way with Unibet looks a decent play. 

Good luck!

 

Monday's best bets at Windsor:

2.20 - Comm Back First 3 Months Handicap - 4 Just Us Two (win) 

4.05 - Cash Out Handicap - 4 Trojan Rocket (each way)