Windsor Races betting: Tom Lee's Monday evening tips


If a well-known brand of lager did Mondays, it's a fair bet they'd suggest they should be spent on the banks of the Thames at picturesque Unibet-sponsored Royal Windsor, especially as tonight signals the first of a long sequence of riotously popular evening fixtures at the Berkshire venue.

Accessible, post-work racing, populated by the inmates of the powerhouse yards of Newmarket and Lambourn, competitive betting heats and ample socialising are happy bedfellows, and it's a formula which grows ever more popular by the year in a spot where the turnstiles click merrily as the days lengthen.

This week persistent rain in the south of the country has turned the going Soft (Heavy in places) at the track - rendering the opening three maidens on the card something akin to a minefield for punters - but the weather is something we can turn to our advantage as race four approaches at 7.05pm - the Download The Unibet Pro App Handicap - a 0-85 run over 1m 2f.

Sussex trainer Gary Moore struck gold once again on Saturday, as stable star Sire De Grugy capped a fine season by securing his fourth Grade 1 of a wonderful campaign, annexing Sandown Park's Celebration Chase at odds of 2/7, to add to that piece of silverware to a mantelpiece already groaning under the weight of gongs for the Tingle Creek, Clarence House and Queen Mother Champion Chases.

Moore is a notoriously deft dual purpose handler though, and is responsible here for top weight Top Diktat, a six-year-old gelding who has flourished since the turn of the year, scoring twice at Kempton Park in the hands of George Baker, before Ryan Moore (on board again today) took over to register the hat-trick at Newbury 16 days ago.

However, although Top Diktat has won on Soft ground at Yarmouth in 2011, his best form is undeniably on a sounder surface.

Furthermore, on three occasions in 2012 he failed to defy a mark of 80, and today has to try and defy a career high rating of 84.

The upward curve has to level out somewhere, and at the prices - Top Diktat is 5/2 market leader with Unibet at the time of writing - I'm going to take him on with Exning trainer Julia Feilden's  precipitation friendly Handheld.

Both of his wins in 2013 came at Nottingham, the latter over today's trip, before signing off with a fine second at Newmarket in November on Soft ground.

Those performances earned a hike in the weights to today's mark of 76, but Handheld is still on a workable mark judged by his hardy reappearance in third at Doncaster at the end of March (again on Soft), and it's worth bearing in mind that when rider Shelley Birkett's claim is factored in, he's receiving the best part of a stone from the favourite.

With fitness assured and conditions to suit - Handheld is the pick at 7/2 with Unibet.

Next up is a 0-80 mile and a half contest - the Daily Unibet Prices From 9am Handicap - in which Stuart Kittow's Significant Move gets the vote at an industry wide best price of 3/1 with the race sponsor.

Twice a winner at Windsor last year, including on Soft ground in April 2013, he has the services of Tom Queally in the saddle to boost his chances, and can atone for a disappointing display when sent off favourite here three weeks ago when he may have needed the run on his first outing for five months, plus managed to find traffic problems in-running that blunted his chances.

Significant Move won over 1m 3f in is younger days, loves Windsor, has had a run to bow away the cobwebs, goes on Soft, gets weight from all of his six rivals, and has slipped back to precisely his last winning mark (71).

Good luck!

 

Monday's best bets at Windsor:

7.05 - Download The Unibet Pro App Handicap - 4 Handheld (win)

7.35 - Daily Unibet Prices From 9am Handicap - 7 Significant Move (win)