Windsor Races betting: Tom Lee's Monday evening tips


After a five day period in which little credible opposition has emerged from a variety of trials staged at Chester, Lingfield and Leopardstown to red hot favourite Australia for the fast approaching Investec Derby - Unibet are best price in the village at 6/4 for the Epsom Classic about Aidan O'Brien's staying on Guineas third - attention switches back to much loved Windsor for another six race spread this Monday night (first race 5.50pm).

Perhaps Godolphin's True Story, who'll be ridden for the first time by Kieren Fallon after a runaway Feilden Stakes win, can throw down a claim in Thursday's Dante Stakes (it's fascinating to note that the Unibet odds compilers afford him maximum respect with a price of just 4/1 for the Derby), but in the meantime we'll try and boost the antepost war chest with a couple of winners at Windsor...

A couple of tricky maidens kick off  tonight's card, but a race for the punters to get stuck into awaits at 6.50pm, with a 0-80 handicap run over 1m 2f, in which Sir Michael Stoute's Stampede is bound to be popular after qualifying for an opening mark of just 74 following three uneventful spins in maiden company.

The step up in trip is what might be the making of him given how well he stayed on over an inadequate mile at Kempton Park last time, and Ryan Moore is available to take the ride.

However, even at an industry best 11/8 with Unibet he's anything but generously priced based upon what he hasn't yet achieved out on the track, so preference is for the more experienced and battle savvy Right Of Appeal for Mark Johnston and Silvestre De Sousa.

Johnston got this son of Dubawi handicapped over six furlongs, and promptly stepped him up to double that distance to strike on his handicap debut on the All Weather at Wolverhampton back in January.

It was a masterful piece of training, starting him off in the handicap ranks from a mark of just 54 - he was 25/1 for his final maiden but 5/6 market leader when delivering on his next start!!

Given that he has since gone in again off 66 at Lingfield that initial mark looked more than a bit attractive, and he now finds himself dropping in trip from 1m 4f to 1m 2f, but given how aggressively he tends to be ridden that could be to his advantage.

Handicap debutant Be Seeing You also merits respect, but at 13/2 with Unibet the chances of Right Of Appeal are not to be underestimated.

Half an hour later there's some real quality on display and a total of £37,000 up for grabs in the listed unibet.co.uk Royal Windsor Stakes, where six go to post for a race topped by one of the success stories of the season so far.

John Ryan's Lincoln winner Ocean Tempest sprang a 20/1 surprise when going in at Doncaster, but with the form of that win being franked time and time again (second Tullius has since won a Group 2 at Sandown Park, sixth Gabrial's Kaka took the Spring Cup at Newbury), the race at Donny looks rock solid, and that's before you factor in what Ocean Tempest has gone on to do.

Subsequently fourth in the aforementioned Spring Cup, he then stepped out of handicap company when easily taking the listed Parardise Stakes at Ascot 12 days ago, beating the re-opposing Fencing and Baltic Knight with plenty to spare.

That duo have a decent shout of revenge with Ocean Tempest now burdened by a penalty for that win, but the 115-rated favourite is progressing rapidly and has conditions to suit.

Good luck!

 

Tonight's best bets at Windsor:

6.50 - Happy Retirement In Brazil Michael Butlin Handicap - 7 Right Of Appeal (win)

7.20 - unibet.co.uk Royal Windsor Stakes - 1 Ocean Tempest (win)