Windsor Races betting: Tom Lee's Monday evening tips


No doubt still licking their wounds after bravely offering an industry wide best price about Derby winner Australia this time a week ago, the Unibet odds compilers switch their focus to this evening's six-race jamboree at Royal Windsor, with the first underway at 6.20pm.

The same team are now no bigger than 5/1 about Aidan O'Brien's son of Galileo and daughter of Ouija Board adding the Arc to his seasonal haul in Paris on the first Sunday in October, but more immediately it's a track on the outskirts of a different capital city that demands our attention...

We've got the mile and a quarter Daily Unibet Early Prices From 9am Claiming Stakes to get our teeth into at 6.50pm, a contest in which the consistent Incendo is sure to be a popular pick for the Ian Williams and George Downing combination.

Successful twice in claiming company in the last three months, his trainer has done well to seek out winning opportunities for him at Lingfield and Catterick.

The same stable also field Commissar, but he's been a tad disappointing over a mile and a half at Windsor on the last two visits, and at the prices I'm happy to take on the stablemates with Tom Dascombe's Anaconda.

A runner in the Group 3 Winter Derby just three runs ago, you can forgive his run at the Chester May meeting after being handicapped by a hopeless wide draw.

A winner at Lingfield on the All Weather in November, this is a clear drop in grade for a talented horse, and if he can transfer some of his obvious ability from the artificial surfaces to the turf then the 13/8 available with Unibet makes plenty of appeal.

Half an hour later (7.20pm) we find out if cheekpieces have the same effect second time around for last week's all the way winner Jupiter Storm.

Sussex trainer Gary Moore had endured a frustrating time with the five-year-old, but made no mistake on this occasion with the Galileo gelding never seeing another rival.

He's a huge danger if the cheekpieces have a similar galvanising effect, but it's worth remembering Jupiter Storm is 0/6 when running previously from a mark of 80 or higher, and a six pound penalty here takes him up to a perch of 83.

What's more, given Jupiter Storm's cramped odds combined with the presence of some decent rivals mean there could be grounds to take him on with something at a more attractive price...

The one I like is Newmarket handler Ismael Mohammed's Red Warrior.

With his stable in great form - seven of their last eight runners have collected prize money with Tower Power winning at Ripon on Tuesday - Red Warrior looks to build on his Yarmouth win off a mark of 77 in April.

A five pound rise for that success looks fair for this son of Iffraaj, and the combination with jockey Tom Queally looks a good one - the Irishman has won and been second on this horse on the two occasions he's taken the ride. 

On just his ninth career outing Red Warrior can make it two from two for the 2014 campaign at 9/2 with Unibet. 

Last but not least, the final race on the card is a blink and you'll miss it five furlong 0-85 sprint handicap (8.50pm), in which Richard Hughes could hold the key aboard handicap newcomer High On Life.

Unbeaten at Windsor after an effortless maiden win over course and distance here two weeks ago, he could be favourably handicapped on a mark of 73.

With the top man booked the 6/1 available at the time of writing looks highly appealing.

Good luck!

 

Monday's best bets at Windsor:

6.50 - Daily Unibet Prices From 9am Claiming Stakes - 1 Anaconda (win) 

7.20 - freebets.co.uk World Cup Betting Handicap - 4 Red Warrior (win)

8.50 - freebets.co.uk Supporting England In Brazil Handicap - 7 High On Life (each way)