Windsor Races betting: Tom Lee's Monday evening tips


Can it really be Monday again?

Happily, the answer is an emphatic 'yes!' if you love a bit of Windsor action to brighten up the start of the week, and tonight's seven race card is another well constructed blend of maidens, handicaps and a claimer. 

They kick-off at the school bell-friendly time of 5.50pm, with a six furlong 0-75 sprint handicap for apprentice riders.

Some of the top up-and-coming names of the Flat racing weighing room are on parade, with the likes of Oisin Murphy, Robert Tart and Cam Hardie all looking to build on profitable campaigns, especially Murphy who rode out his claim at the end of last week. 

Mentioned in the same high regard as them is Willie Twiston-Davies, who takes the leg up in this on his boss Mick Channon's four-year-old Whipper gelding Jontleman.

Three times a winner at today's trip, Jontleman has dropped to precisely his last winning mark (73), and will be very much suited by ground described by Clerk of the Course Jeff Green as Good to Firm (Good in places). 

His last three runs have been promising without quite hitting the bullseye, and given how well this horse ran on his only previous winner to Windsor when a narrow second here last summer, Jontleman looks worth following each way in his quest to give his young rider a 20th winner of 2014. 

Course sponsors Unibet will accommodate you at the industry wide top quote of 7/1, which is both top of the charts in terms of value, but also another great example of their efforts to reward shrewd punters who choose to take advantage of their enhanced place terms - with the firm in this instance offering a quarter rather than a fifth of the odds.

We'll jump to race five for the second play of the evening, which is a tricky looking 10-runner extended mile 0-85 handicap test at 7.50pm, laced with possibilities...

The likes of recent winners Tenor, Harry Bosch, Unison and After The Goldrush are all horses who love to be ridden aggressively, but there has to be a danger that the quartet could run their respective races far too early and get engaged in a phony war in trying to grab the lead. 

Let's hope they do, as that can set this up perfectly for one of those who like to be ridden more conservatively and swoop late from off the pace.

Step forward Charles Hills and Steve Drowne, the duo responsible for dual course and distance winner Ogbourne Downs.

Quick ground is ideal for a horse who returned to form with a gutsy win under tonight's rider at Bath last time out, winning by a neck after a sluggish start. 

That narrow margin of victory means the assessor has only nudged him up two pounds, and that leaves Ogbourne Downs primed for a big effort on a track where he has won on two of his three visits to date. 

His trainer had four winners last week, including one at Windsor seven days ago.

It could be more of the same from a horse about whom you'll get the best price of 11/2 each way with Unibet, with the enhanced each way offer again doing us a weighty favour. 

An hour later (8.50pm) the lucky last throws up a 10 furlong 0-75 handicap where a couple of non-runners have reduced the field to nine.

George Baker's bang in form I'm Harry has been in top form of late, winning five of his last seven, including a pair of handicaps at Les Landes in Jersey!

He failed by the width of a cigarette paper to extend that sequence at Doncaster on Friday, and lines up here off the same mark (66).

There has to be a danger however that this will come too quick, and although you can see the logic in Baker running him before the handicapper can react, there could be value in looking beyond his cramped odds. 

Oratorio's Joy looks a danger at the top of the weights with Richard Hughes booked, but another man who rides Windsor brilliantly is cool as ice Adam Kirby, who takes the mount on recent Goodwood winner Golden Journey.

This son of Nayef landed some tasty bets when upped in trip for the first time to tonight's distance at the Sussex track last time out, and on only his sixth ever start deserves to be taken very seriously. 

With nine winners in the last 14 days his trainer Clive Cox continues to get the job done, and there could be more cause for celebration from this 7/2 shot this evening.

Good luck!

 

Monday night's best bets at Windsor:

5.50 - Betdaq Apprentice Handicap - 3 Jontleman (each way) @ 7/1 

7.50 - Warhorse Fireworks At Royal Windsor Racecourse Handicap - 2 Ogbourne Downs (each way) @ 11/2

8.50 - Royal Windsor Racecourse Monday Night Club Handicap - 8 Golden Journey (win) @ 7/2