Windsor Races betting: Tom Lee's Monday evening tips


Another six race feast helps decorate the Monday evening menu at Royal Windsor, with tonight's fayre kicking-off at 6.25pm with a fillies' maiden.

Quickening ground and humid conditions has sparked a flurry of non-runners, but the fourth race on the card - a 0-85 six furlong sprint handicap run at 7.55pm - looks well worth our attention, with definite potential for a bit of value...

The booking of Ryan Moore could well be significant for top weight Mission Approved, a former Sir Michael Stoute inmate making just his third start for Luca Cumani.

Twice successful at seven furlongs when in the care of the Stoute team, he is yet to win at this shorter trip, but was probably a tad unlucky at Doncaster last time.

Moore has won on him before and gets the leg up tonight with the duo a short price to get the job done, but in choosing this mount he appears to have swerved the opportunity to ride Dean Ivory's Tagula Night, a former course and distance scorer upon whom he won at Sandown Park last month.

 

Mission Approved might win and justify cramped odds, but he's rising up the weights and has suffered a succession of near misses.

Compare and contrast that with the claims Tagula Night; who is three times the price, knows this place inside out having won here before, is a seven time winner at sprint distances, and vitally has won off today's mark of 82 before now.

Alongside Moore and Richard Hughes his rider Adam Kirby is arguably the star performer in the saddle at Windsor, and here he partners a horse who won convincingly at Sandown two starts ago, and was very unlucky back there last time out when finding himself hemmed in on the rail at a vital stage and having to be switched around horses.

Trainer Ivory had a winner with the most recent runner, and has a definite chance of putting the ball in the net again here - Unibet will lay you what looks to be a generous 5/1 each way, which means we not only get our stake back if he at least makes the frame, but turn a profit due to their excellent quarter odds each way place concession.

Half an hour later the field has been chopped in half by non-runners for the 0-75 extended mile handicap (8.25pm).

Of the remaining brigade both Unison and Royal Connection are recent winners, but they could well find the Roger Charlton-trained Tides Reach too hot to handle.

Charlton has his string in red hot form, so much so that of the last 22 runners sent out from his Wiltshire base a stunning eight have returned victorious!

Furthermore, if you're a trends follower you can't help but be emboldened by this pointer: in the last four years the same trainer has run 18 three-year-olds at Windsor, producing an impressive five winners, and in Mastercraftsan filly Tides Reach (named after possibly the best located hotel in the country, overlooking South Sands beach in Devon) he looks to have further ammunition to be taken seriously...

She was a narrow third to Sweet Martoni (declared a non runner in this race) here at the end of last month, in a race where she finished a comfortable two and a half lengths ahead of the re-opoposing Royal Connection, who has since advertised the form by winning at Brighton.

Tides Reach wasn't helped by conservative tactics and a sedate early pace that day, so don't be at all surprised to see her more aggressively ridden by James Doyle this evening.

You'll find the top industry price of 15/8 with Unibet. 

Finally, they round the evening off at 8.55pm with an extended 1m 3f fillies' handicap.

Anyone who saw Sir Michael Stoute's daughter of Teofilo Shama's Song staying on powerfully at the business end of her handicap debut at Nottingham last time (1m 2f) out will surely have come to the same conclusion I did - namely that she was crying out for a little bit more yardage to reel in the winner, so tonight's step up in trip looks perfect.

Fingers crossed her pilot Ryan Moore will be even hungrier for a winner this stage after making the wrong call between Tagula Night and Mission Approved - that would be a good end to another excellent Windsor Monday night!

Good luck!

 

Tonight's best bets at Windsor:

7.55 - Trailfinders Which? Best Holiday Company Handicap - 3 Tagula Night (each way)

8.25 - Win £10,000,000 On Betdaq Colossus Handicap - 6 Tides Reach (win)

8.55 - Love Travel, Love Trailfinders Fillies' Handicap - 7 Shama's Song (win)