Sunday’s play in the Olympic tennis tournament was severely disrupted by rain, but the forecast looks good for a full day’s play today.
Let’s hope the good weather brings a change of luck after bad fortune and a chronic performance left me out of pocket on Sunday with one bet still to come. Stan Wawrinka essentially bottled it against Roger Federer with an incredible 32 unforced errors in two sets, before Bernard Tomic blew a host of chances against Kei Nishikori.
At least Andy Murray’s win over Wawrinka keeps my outright bet alive and Monday offers some decent betting opportunities once more.
The courts are playing either fast or slow, depending on which player you listen to, and we’ve seen the likes of Novak Djokovic struggle to adapt and play an effective defensive game on this slippery Wimbledon surface so far this week.
Logic would dictate that a defensive game isn’t likely to win you many matches in this tournament, which in turn would suggest that Caroline Wozniacki is vulnerable today at 1.42 against capable grass courter Yanina Wickmayer. The head-to-head is very much in favour of the Dane, who holds a 5-0 lead, but they’ve never played on grass and Wozniacki hasn’t beaten anyone of note on any surface for a while now.
You need to go back to the spring for Caro’s last victory over a high ranked player and she struggled past average Brit Anne Keothavong in the first round here. Wozniacki’s tenacity may see her through this one, but she’s no cert and the overs looks good - over 21.5 games is available at evens.
Another defensive pusher who might come up short today is Gilles Simon, who has been priced up as narrow favourite against Grigor Dimitrov. Simon’s record on grass is pretty poor, with losses on the green stuff to Simone Bolelli, Xavier Malisse and Adrian Mannarino in the last year or so and he’s only once gone past the third round at Wimbledon.
I can’t see him enjoying conditions today and a good mover like Dimitrov should be able to take full advantage against in this match, which is scheduled for Court 18 in the late afternoon. Again, the head-to-head looks bad for my fancy, with Simon leading 3-0 in this instance, but the one that was played on grass was very close (7-6, 7-6) and Dimitrov has improved a lot in the three years since that match was played.
The overs also looks possible in this one, but I fancy that Dimitrov, who has secured some good wins in the last few months or so, will prevail at a price of 1.92
Finally, another dodgy mover is Petra Kvitova, who won’t have the benefit of a roof today out on Court 14 against solid grass court player Shuai Peng. We saw Kvitova struggle against Kateryna Bondarenko here in round one and if Peng hadn’t been troubled with a hand injury lately I’d fancy her chances in this one at around 4.35.
Kvitova hasn’t been in the kind of form this year that would justify odds of around 1.20 in this match. I can’t see her being able to cover a games handicap mark of -5.5 games against a player like Peng in these conditions.
Obviously Kvitova is a former Wimbledon champion, but she’s struggled a bit since then outdoors and Peng’s unusual style has seen her secure some good results on the grass. The Chinese player looks good to win on the handicap in this one at 1.74.
Back over 21.5 games in Wozniacki v Wickmayer at 2.0
Back Dimitrov to beat Simon at 1.92
Back Peng + 5.5 games to beat Kvitova at 1.74