Steve Beaton v Kyle Anderson
Steve Beaton has an uncanny knack of hanging on to his position in the world’s top 32, and he does so by winning matches like this in combination with the odd big-name scalp.
When at his flowing best the Bronze Adonis is a pleasure to watch. Beaton is up there with Raymond van Barneveld, Gary Anderson and Adrian Lewis as the most natural of darts players, the frustrating thing is that he does not have any semblance of consistency in his game from one match to the next.
This will be Beaton’s 12th consecutive appearance at the PDC World Championships, having also competed in the previous 10 Lakeside events. In comparison to Kyle Anderson who will be making his debut on the world stage; this is certainly a mismatch when it comes to experience.
We know very little about Anderson, so shouldn’t get too involved in this one, but it’s safe to say that Australian darts isn’t the strongest of the emerging nations and a bet on Beaton to win 3-0 at odds of 2.20 looks worth a nibble.
Wes Newton v Johnny Haines
Wes Newton’s steady rise up the PDC rankings have shown no signs of abating in the last 12 months as a quarter-final, semi-final and final appearance in this year’s Majors have helped move him up to number 6 in the world. If he can make the semi-finals or better this winter then he could finish the year inside the world’s top four, depending on how others perform.
Johnny Haines, meanwhile, qualified for Ally Pally thanks to his form on the PDC ProTour this year, although his world ranking of 78 highlights the slim chance he has of causing an upset tonight.
With 72 places separating this pair in the pecking order odds of 1.14 in the Match Odds market accurately reflects the gulf between these two players. I’d be mightily surprised if Haines can even take a set from The Warrior, so take the 1.90 about a 3-0 win for Newton.
Mervyn King v Dean Winstanley
Along with Ian white, Dean Winstanley was the name that all the seeded players wanted to avoid in the first round draw. The former Lakeside finalist has made a good impact on the PDC circuit since switching from the BDO at the beginning of this year, and it’s unlikely he’ll be an unseeded player at this tournament too often in the future.
With Winstanley no bigger than an even money shot as the outsider here, this one has all the hallmarks of going to a final-set decider. And when that is the case, it often means that we should play the Overs on most of the peripheral markets.
A close match naturally equates to there being numerous legs and sets, and therefore plenty of opportunities for players to hit maximums and take down the big checkouts.
It is a 1.87 shot that the highest checkout of the match is bigger than 121.5, and the same odds that there are more than 7.5 180s hit in the match. It’s also worth backing the 1.95 about there being more than 17.5 legs, which could feasibly be surpassed even if the match were to end 3-1 in sets.
Beaton to win 3-0 @ 2.20
Newton to win 3-0 @ 1.90
Over 7.5 180s @ 1.87 in King v Winstanley