Wes Newton v James Wade
With all the talk of Raymond van Barneveld, Phil Taylor, Adrian Lewis and Michael van Gerwen, both James Wade and Wes Newton have crept into the quarter-finals of the PDC World Championships relatively unnoticed. But despite a lack of headlines along the way, make no mistake about it: these two players can win this tournament.
The main reason that neither player has made any great waves so far is largely due to the fact that neither has set the world alight with their averages; each is hovering just above the 90-mark with their tournament stats. They have both, however, been emphatic winners of their three matches to date, Newton dropping only one set and Wade two to this point.
Wade’s experience on this stage and his record of winning Major titles makes him the favourite at odds of 1.65 to win this match. But the evenly-matched head-to-head record of seven wins for The Machine and eight for Newton shows just how close a match this could be. In such a level contest the 2.20 about Newton appeals.
We’ve had a couple of disappointments in matches that we expected to be close involving Barney, but neither of these players are showing the sort of form of the big Dutchman, so I fancy that this one will be lengthy. Over 31.5 legs is a 1.65 chance and more than 7.5 sets - which obviously equates to either player winning 5-3 or 5-4 - is at 1.85.
Adrian Lewis v Michael van Gerwen
Prior to Friday night’s action many were suggesting that the winner of this tournament might come from this clash. Michael van Gerwen is the man of the moment and has brought his superb form to the biggest stage of them all, averaging around 97 for the tournament and looking pretty special when reeling off four consecutive sets after falling 2-0 behind in his second round match with Peter Wright.
Adrian Lewis hasn’t been as impressive this past fortnight or this season, but he is unbeaten on the Ally Pally stage in 15 matches, and that counts for a great deal. It could be argued that Lewis has rarely been spectacular in winning his two world titles, only once averaging over 100 in any of his matches. But the point is that he knows how to win on this stage and that can be invaluable.
Rarely will you see a two-time world champion made the betting outsider against a player who has only won one Major title, but that is what we are presented with today, as Jackpot is quoted at 2.30 and Mighty Mike at 1.60. Van Gerwen revealed ahead of his third round match that he was suffering with injuries to both feet, and although that did little to deter him against Colin Lloyd there must be greater concerns as he gets set to face the champ. Lewis +1.5 sets at odd of 1.72 looks a good bet to accompany an outright bet on the world number two at odds of 2.30.
Over 31.5 legs @ 1.65 in Newton v Wade
Lewis +1.5 sets @ 1.72
Lewis to beat Van Gerwen @ 2.30