Simon Whitlock v Dave Chisnall
Between them in the tournament so far Simon Whitlock and Dave Chisnall have dropped just one set and won 14. Whitlock, however, has undoubtedly been the more emphatic of the two, with Chizzy’s second round match against Daryl Gurney being a lot closer than the 4-1 scoreline suggested.
Both players also have extremely similar tournament averages to date with the Aussie coming in at a slightly higher 95.92 and Chisnall posting 95.67.
For two such evenly matched players, it’s surprising to see the head-to-head stats weighted so heavily in one man’s favour. In just over two years they’ve faced each other 14 times, and Chisnall has won 10 of them. At odds of 2.40 perhaps the Englishman offers the value in the Match Odds market.
Gary Anderson v Raymond van Barneveld
Arguably the two most impressive players in the tournament so far, meet at the last-16 stage this Thursday evening. Gary Anderson and Raymond van Barneveld can boast the two highest tournament averages at Alexandra Palace so far this winter, with Barney the only player above the 100 mark and Anderson just shy at 98.42.
This would be a fitting final of any tournament in the history of world darts, but such is the relatively poor form that each man has shown over the past 12-18 months their rankings have slipped and the seedings mean that they now meet here. Both, however, have looked to be getting back to their best this week and this should be an enthralling match-up.
Barney’s slightly better start to the tournament means that he is the match favourite at odds of 1.65, with Anderson at 2.15. But this is a tie where the Match Odds market is probably best avoided.
Anderson hit as many as 19 maximums in his second round win over John Bowles, with Barney hitting eight in his first round match and a further four against Brendan Dolan in round two. Back Over 15.5 180s at odds of 1.85.
Adrian Lewis v Kevin Painter
Defending champion Adrian Lewis has muddled his way through the tournament so far, with a fortunate draw that had him pitted against Gino Vos then Denis Ovens. If he wants to progress any further he will certainly need to up his game to the next level against an in-form Kevin Painter tonight.
The Artist showed his quality in beating Leung Chun Nam with a 94.97 average in round one, then every last inch of his battling qualities to come back from the brink and defeat Ronnie Baxter in round two.
There’s almost a ten-point gap between the two players’ tournament averages, with Jackpot posting a measly 85.55 across his two matches so far and Painter up at 95.42. On that basis, and arguably everything that we’ve seen over the past 12 months, odds of 2.50 on a Painter win look extremely generous. The question is whether the world champion can do what he has done twice before and do what is required to get the job done on the big stage. It certainly wouldn’t be too much of a surprise to see him line-up in the quarter-finals.
Chisnall to beat Whitlock @ 2.40
Over 15.5 180s @ 1.85 in Barney v Anderson
Painter to beat Lewis @ 2.50