Darts Betting: World Championships – Day Three Tips


Brendan Dolan v Mark Jones

Brendan Dolan has had an incredible year at the oche, reaching the semi-finals of two Major events – European Championships and World Matchplay – and consequently establishing himself in the world’s top 20. He’s also beaten Phil Taylor in front of the cameras, something only a select few players can lay claim to.

As far as first round opponents go, he couldn’t have hoped for a more straightforward task than world number 73 Mark Jones. This will be the 42-year-old’s debut at Alexandra Palace, having only once previously qualified for a Major PDC event – the 2011 UK Open. Jones qualifies for the worlds after finishing in 46th position on the ProTour Order of Merit and claiming the penultimate spot of the 58 available in the first round.

Bookmakers continue to underestimate Dolan’s quality and I’m certain that if this was any other top-20 player he’d be a lot shorter than the 1.30 being offered in the Match Odds market. That’s a value bet as it stands, but if you want to see a greater return then you can get 1.65 about Dolan -1.5 sets on the handicap and 2.80 that the Northern Irishman wins 3-0.

Andy Hamilton v James Richardson

James Richardson provided the shock of last year’s PDC World Championships as he defeated Raymond van Barneveld 3-0 in the first round. He was perhaps a little fortunate to catch Barney at his most fragile, but nothing should be taken away from what was a brilliant win.

Unfortunately for Richardson he hasn’t been able to build on that success and a particularly uninspiring 12 months has ensued. He also comes up against one of the most hardened professionals on the circuit in this year’s opening round, making a repeat of last year’s heroics extremely unlikely.

As was mentioned in our outright preview The Hammer looks a good outside bet for this year’s title at odds of 30.00, and I fully expect him to get off to a comfortable start here. 3-0 to Hamilton can be backed at odds of 2.00, while it is a 1.87 shot that there are fewer than 15.5 legs. Both look decent bets.

Raymond van Barneveld v Michael Smith

Barney looks to avoid the fate he suffered 12 months ago at the hands of Richardson with a tricky opening round match against young Michael Smith. Smith is one of the emerging talents in the game, finishing second in the PDC Youth Tour Order of Merit. The 22-year-old showed his capabilities by beating Ian White in the first round of the recent Players Championship Finals and is certainly one to keep an eye on for the future.

I can’t, however, see him progressing any further in this year’s World Championships. This is not the same Barney that crashed out in the first round to Richardson a long 12 months ago, as he showed in winning the winning the Grand Slam of Darts last month.

Smith is more than capable of winning a set by holding his own throw, so avoid the temptation to back Barney to win 3-0. A play on the Dutchman -1.5 sets at odds of 1.50 is a much more sensible option, while the 1.90 about Barney hitting the most 180s is my punt of the night.

Suggested Bets:

Dolan to win 3-0 at 2.80

Hamilton to win 3-0 at 2.0

Barney to hit most 180s at 1.90