Formula 1 Betting: German Grand Prix

Advantage Alonso again in Germany

For the second race running we had a wet qualifying session and for the second race running it’s Fernando Alonso who starts from pole position.

Hopefully a few of you picked up on yesterday’s tip to back the Ferrari driver at 7.0 to take pole.

Alonso shares the front row of the grid with championship rival Sebastian Vettel. Both are on fairly short odds to win: 2.85 and 2.75 respectively.

But with conditions set to change dramatically at the circuit tomorrow, might there be some other drivers in with a chance of victory at longer odds?

Longer odds on Lewis

First a word of caution; Alonso and Vettel are two-times world champions for a reason. It’s hard to imagine either of them starting from the front row of the grid and blowing a shot at victory.

But this has been a very unpredictable season so far and we could have another surprise lurking around the corner.

Every session so far this weekend has been affected by rain. But the forecast for Sunday is for a dry race and with warmer conditions unlike those seen so far this weekend.

One of the most interesting propositions for the race is Lewis Hamilton. This is a rare opportunity to back Hamilton to win a race at long odds - currently 10.00

Hamilton qualified eighth and will start seventh after Mark Webber’s penalty. In the dry running at the beginning of qualifying and earlier in the day in final practice Hamilton was consistently among the quickest drivers on the track.

“McLaren was a bit quicker than everyone else in the dry,” noted Alonso after qualifying. “So I expect a strong race from them tomorrow.”

McLaren have brought several major updates to their MP4-27 for this race which appear to have had the desired effect.

Whether he can get into contention for victory tomorrow will depend partly on how quickly he can passes some of the car starting immediately in front of him which should be slower: Pastor Maldonado’s Williams, Nico Hulkenberg’s Force India and Michael Schumacher’s Mercedes – the latter of which held up several cars in the opening laps at Silverstone.

Team-mate Jenson Button starts one place closer to the front and is priced at a very appealing 15.0. But his form of late has been dreadful – he’s scored just seven points in the last six races – which makes betting on him quite an act of faith at the moment.

Fastest lap contenders

Consider placing a bet on something other than who will win to get the advantage of some more rewarding odds.

Betting on the fastest lap setter is a little tricky. Keep in mind that remember that the race winner often doesn’t set the fastest lap as they tend to spend the final laps circulating carefully, protecting their lead. This is the point in the race when the fastest lap is usually set because the cars are at their lightest.

Lotus have set more fastest laps than any other team so far this year. Their driver Kimi Raikkonen is third on the list of those who have set the most fastest laps, with 37. The most recent of which came last time out at Silverstone.

You can get odds of 8.0 on Raikkonen to set the fastest lap this weekend, which is definitely worth a look. So is team mate Romain Grosjean at 8.0 - the Lotus has tended to look after its tyres very well and come on strong in the closing stages of races.