Serie A Betting: Betting Preview


Saturday

Torino 1.85, the draw 3.2, Pescara 4.75

Level on points going into this game, but only because Torino started the season with a one-point penalty, these two teams are familiar with one another from having spent the last two seasons together in Serie B. Torino – for whom Alessio Cerci is expected to make his debut – have won this fixture in each of those campaigns and given how Pescara have since been stripped of several of their best players, should feel confident of doing so again. The home win makes sense at 1.85.

Bologna 4.0, the draw 3.3, Milan 1.9

Antonio Cassano branded Adriano Galliani “all smoke and no roast dinner” after switching Milan for Inter this summer, but the vice-president of the Rossoneri certainly seems to have had a fire lit underneath him following their opening weekend defeat to Sampdoria. Since then he has orchestrated the signing on loan of Bojan Krkic from Roma, and at time of writing a deal for Manchester City’s Nigel De Jong appears close.

Even without them, this team ought to be better than it was last week. But with Robinho joining Alexandre Pato on the injury list, odds of 4.2 on a Bologna clean sheet are tempting.

Sunday

Udinese 4.8, the draw 3.4, Juventus 1.75

For anyone who has followed the manager’s remarkable work at Udinese over the last few years, the sight of Francesco Guidolin struggling to come to terms with his team’s Champions League play-off exit to Braga on Tuesday night was heartbreaking. So thoroughly defeated were his words and body language that many expected him to resign, but a day later the club’s owners confirmed that he would be staying.

What toll that defeat, and those emotions will take on Udinese as a whole is hard to predict. But certainly odds of 4.8 on the home win are rare – even against an opponent like Juventus – for a team who lost just twice at Stadio Friuli last year.

Cagliari 2.15, the draw 3.1, Atalanta 3.6

Before staking any money on this game, you might want to first confirm that it is indeed going ahead, with Cagliari’s players having threatened strike action this week over being made to play another ‘home’ game in Trieste – 500 miles away from the team’s home town. The club played a number of fixtures there at the end of last season, but were supposed to move to another temporary home in nearby Quartu for the start of this campaign. Instead the authorities have ruled that the Stadio Is Arena cannot yet be certified as fit for use.

Cagliari’s players have stated that they would rather simply play there behind closed doors than make another trip to Trieste, but if the match is played then expect a low-scoring affair. Take the under 1.5 goals bet at 2.95.

Catania 2.05, the draw 3.25, Genoa 3.65

Genoa’s away games last season were reminiscent of a travelling police dog demonstration - the team pitching up across the country in their fancy uniforms and allowing themselves to be mauled for the purposes of entertaining an audience of locals. Forty-five goals conceded in 19 away games tells its own story, and if new manager Luigi De Canio is to ensure a less anxious campaign away form is the area he must address.

He will have Alberto Gilardino back for this match, though it would feel like a shame if that meant the 22-year-old Ciro Immobile, a goalscorer during the win over Cagliari last week, making way. Regardless, this is a game which should see goals. Back over 2.5 at 1.95.

Lazio 1.65, the draw 3.6, Palermo 5.0

The only team to win fewer games than Genoa on their travels last year was Palermo – whose lone road victory did not arrive last season until April. They are unlikely to reverse that trend here against a Lazio team who seem to be beginning to click under new manager Vladimir Petkovic after a difficult preseason. This is not an easy market to find value in, but backing Lazio to have the lead at half-time and full-time could work out at 2.55.

Napoli 1.68, the draw 3.6, Fiorentina 5.25

Snubbed by Dimitar Berbatov, Fiorentina have nevertheless been busy in these last few days of the transfer window – signing Giulio Migliaccio from Palermo and Nenad Tomovic from Genoa. More important than either of those deals, though, is the fact that they have thus far managed to fend off all interest in Stevan Jovetic.

The Montenegrin scored both goals in his team’s win over Udinese last week and will be his team’s greatest goalscoring threat once more against Napoli. Although not easily beaten at home, the Partenopei did concede 22 at Stadio San Paolo last season, so back Jovetic to get his name on the scoresheet at some stage.

Parma 2.05, the draw 3.2, Chievo 3.85

Roberto Donadoni’s Parma team might have been unfortunate with certain key decisions during their defeat to Juventus last week – but as the manager himself admitted, the truth was that their performance had not merited anything better.

Chievo, of course, are a rather different prospect to the reigning Serie A champions, but Parma certainly cannot expect to have things all their own way. The Flying Donkeys not only beat Bologna in their last match but have kept clean sheets in five of their last seven dating back to last season. The odds on them doing so here are set at 3.8.

Sampdoria 1.85, the draw 3.4, Siena 4.4

What to make of Sampdoria now, following their opening weekend victory over Milan? The Blucerchiati have since then added the Malaga midfielder Enzo Maresca to their squad and the mood around the club is a distinctly optimistic one. Siena, by contrast, have gone six games without a win in Serie A, dating back to last season, and presently sit last on -5 points, as a result of the penalty they were handed during the match-fixing investigations.

The Stadio Luigi Ferraris has often been a fortress for Samp in the past and they will need it to be if they are to stay up this season. Take the home win at 1.85.