It was an excellent start to the weekend’s Davis Cup betting on Friday, with two successful wagers from my two selections.
The day began in perfect fashion as Cedrik-Marcel Stebe took the first set against Bernard Tomic and went on to push the Australian over the total games mark to make it a winning start. My second bet of the day, which was on over 41.5 games in the John Isner vs Nico Almagro match, was also successful as the pair went the full five sets in Gijon and way over the total games mark.
Saturday is a trickier day, with the Davis Cup doubles taking centre stage. The first match I like the look of takes place on the clay of Hamburg, where Germany take on Australia with the tie level at 1-1.
Philipp Petzschner missed his pal and regular dubs partner Jurgen Melzer’s wedding for this tie and he and Benjamin Becker have a great chance of making it all worthwhile when they take on Chris Guccione and Lleyton Hewitt.
Both of the these teams have played together before, but all of those matches they’ve played have taken place on grass courts. The German side and the Aussies are all good grass court players and it will be interesting to see how they match up on clay. I would give the edge to the hosts and I’d expect Petzschner to be the leading light today.
Petzschner and Melzer won Stuttgart last year on the clay, beating Marcel Granollers and Marc Lopez in the final there. I expect the Germans to have just a bit too much for Rusty and Gooch today.
Hewitt was disappointing in a straight sets loss to the flaky Florian Mayer in singles yesterday and he’ll need much more today if he’s to lead the Aussies into the final day of this tie with an advantage. I’m happy to side with the German pair in this one at odds of around 1.70.
My second bet is to take a chance on the Bryan brothers taking down Granollers and Lopez by three sets to one in a match they must win to keep the Spain vs USA tie alive in Gijon.
The USA came agonisingly close to leveling the tie yesterday when Isner just came up short in that five set thriller against Almagro. That would have made this tie really interesting, but as it is, it’s a must-win for the Bryans.
Both brothers are unbeaten in 10 Davis Cup doubles matches on clay and they have a 2-0 head-to-head record against today’s opponents. The US pair beat them in a tight one recently in Toronto and more comfortably on clay in Monte Carlo earlier in the year.
The Spaniards had to pull out of their US Open semi-final recently due to an injury to Lopez, while the Bryans won the title, so this is as big a doubles match as it gets. Although it might be a touch closer than the odds suggest, I’m going to invest an a four set win for the Americans.
Bob and Mike Bryan are yet to be extended to play a doubles match that’s gone to the full five sets in Davis Cup and in a rubber they simply must win, odds of 3.50 about them getting it done in four seem pretty reasonable.
Back Petzschner/Becker to beat Hewitt/Guccione at 1.70
Back Bryan/Bryan to beat Granollers/Lopez 3-1 at 3.50