The opening week of the grass court season was a good one for my ATP bets, with another nice-priced winning wager on Sunday in Halle.
My advice of backing the 2-1 Roger Federer win over Mikhail Youzhny proves spot on and rewarded backers of that one at a handy 3.85 as the Swiss came back from losing the opening set to land another Gerry Weber Open title.
The ATP Tour joins forces with the WTA this week for two ATP 250 events on the grass in Eastbourne for the Aegon International and in Rosmalen for the newly re-branded Topshelf Open, which is an interesting name for a tournament.
There are six matches each scheduled for today in both venues, so 12 in total beginning at 10am UK time in Rosmalen.
Conditions are generally pretty windy in Eastbourne and quite slow in Rosmalen, which is worth noting for the week’s play. In all honesty today’s card isn’t the most appealing I’ve ever seen, but there are a few options for betting.
Kyle Edmund looks to have a bright future and he could be worth siding with in only his second ever match on the tour against the rather limited Kenny de Schepper in the lunchtime match in Eastbourne.
The French Open junior doubles champion tested Grega Zemlja on the grass of Queen’s Club last week and with a start of +3.5 games against de Schepper, who is little more than a serve, it’s worth banking the talented youngster to make this a match at 2.05.
Albert Ramos has never won a match on grass in his career, but former Queen’s finalist James Blake hasn’t won a main draw match on grass since reaching that final back in 2009, so I’m not sure I’ll be getting involved in that one despite the temptation to back Blake.
I’m tempted by the low ball toss of Alexandr Dolgopolov in these windy conditions, but his form on grass is poor and a match involving him and Fernando Verdasco is not one I would be happy betting on.
Andreas Seppi has a great record here, but he’s in awful form at the moment and he can’t be backed at the moment, even against the inexperienced Guillaume Rufin, while Fabio Fognini is very hit and miss on grass and his match with Grega Zemlja could be anything.
But I do like the chances of Ryan Harrison against Paul-Henri Mathieu in their early afternoon match in Eastbourne at a price of around 1.72.
The American has semi-final points to defend here from last year. He needs to have a good grass swing, as he also has semi-final points to defend in Newport, in order to avoid dropping further down the rankings after a poor year.
Harrison does play well on the grass, while Mathieu has not won a match in the main draw on grass since 2010 and has ongoing off-court problems that have affected his performances for a while now.
The young American has qualified here without dropping a set and he should be able to reverse the loss to Mathieu on clay that he suffered in Nice last month on a surface that favours him far more than the dirt.
Back Edmund +3.5 games to beat de Schepper at 2.05
Back Harrison to beat Mathieu at 1.72
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