ATP Houston Betting: Comeback kid Ginepri to beat Russell


Monday's wager in the US Men's Clay Court Championship was unfortunate, as my prediction of a narrow Gael Monfils win proved correct.

The Frenchman took the victory over James Blake 7-6, 7-5, which was a bit unlucky for those that had Lamonf as a 2-1 winner at a nice price.

Today's schedule in Houston offers a selection of matches that really could go either way - or at least that's how they've been priced up - and these are Robby Ginepri vs Michael Russell, Ricardas Berankis vs Jesse Levine, Flavio Cipolla vs Facundo Arguello and Jack Sock vs Bradley Klahn.

Later on in the day Fernando Verdasco can't be backed with much confidence at around 1.35 given the form that he's been in lately. The Spaniard takes on Steve Johnson in a match that he should win, but I wouldn't want to be on Verdasco at that price.

Similarly, John Isner is around the 1.45 mark against fellow American Ryan Harrison in a clash of two out of form players. Although I would expect Isner to win, his confidence can't be high at the moment, with just six wins on the tour all season and none against anything like top class opponents.

Harrison has also struggled and his four match wins this season are eclipsed by his eight losses. He was schooled last time out by James Blake in Miami. Isner's should take that one and I'd rather be on him at a short price than Verdasco.

But I'm tempted by Robby Ginepri and Ricardas Berankis, who both should outclass their opponents today and of the two I'll opt for Ginepri at around 1.73 against Russell.

Robby has been in the doldrums for a while since breaking his arm back in 2010, which caused him to miss a year of tennis and he's been battling back ever since.

But he's been performing closer to his standards of old lately and he's posted some good results this year, which leads me to believe he'll once again be too clever for old rival Russell, who he's beaten three times from three so far.

Russell had a pretty awful record in Houston until out of nowhere he reached the semi-finals last year, which belied his previous form on the red dirt.

He then backed that up by reaching the Sarasota semis, but since then he's lost five from six on clay and this will be his first match on the red stuff since last summer.

Ginepri has played three qualifying matches to reach this stage and he's much the more capable performer on clay, having beaten Juan Calros Ferrero and taken Novak Djokovic to four sets at the French Open before his accident.

I would expect Ginepri to take this one if he's fit and firing and on a tricky day for picking I'll put my trust in Robby.

Best Bet: Back Ginepri to beat Russell at 1.73

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