Wednesday’s clay court action in Portugal and Germany features eight ATP second round matches, beginning in Munich at 10am UK time.
My best bet on Tuesday was very unfortunate, as Charly Berlocq fell to Albert Ramos in a decider, despite the Argentine scoring more points in the match.
I said yesterday that it could well be a tight one and it proved to be the case as Berlocq let a lead slip in the opening set breaker to put himself up against it.
Hopefully, my advice of avoiding backing the short priced Marcos Baghdatis was helpful, as the Cypriot went down in straight sets to Evgeny Korolev in Munich. Similarly, Pablo Carreno-Busta did indeed fancy his chances against the out of form Julien Benneteau, with the Spaniard winning in two sets in Oeiras.
Kicking things off today in Munich are tournament favourite Marin Cilic and Ivan Dodig, who meet for the fifth time in their careers and the 1.23 about Cilic looks short enough against his fellow countryman who he has struggled against before. Marin should come through, but I’d prefer chancing the 2-1 Cilic win at a more palatable price of 4.10.
The second match in Munich looks a good opportunity to back Radek Stepanek at odds against when he takes on Viktor Troicki.
I said yesterday that Mikhail Youzhny was short at 1.40 against Steps and it proved so, as the Czech veteran nicked it in a decider. That match should have Stepanek in the right form to take down Troicki.
Bucharest last week was the first time since Cincy last summer that Troicki had won two straight games at any tournament and he’s lost his last 10 in a row and 16 of his last 17 against top-50 ranked opposition, which makes the 2.05 about Steps worth taking.
Over in Oeiras, Benoit Paire should win the opener against Victor Hanescu, but would you place any faith in a man who wears a hoodie on court to keep the chill from his delicate bones, as he did in the last round?
David Ferrer in unbackable at 1.07 against Edouard-Roger Vasselin, while the all-Italian clash between Fabio Fognini and Paulo Lorenzi should go the way of the former, but 1.35 is a touch short. The 2-0 Fognini win appeals more at 1.80.
The final match of the day features Carreno-Busta taking on David Goffin and on current form the Spaniard should win, but the layers are taking no chances with him today and 1.65 is no value.
Best Bet: Back Stepanek to beat Troicki at 2.05
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