ATP Shanghai Betting: Big game Brands to progress in China


The Asian swing of the 2013 ATP World Tour comes to an end this week with the biggest event of the mini-season - the Shanghai Rolex Masters.

This Masters 1000 event is now in its fifth year and the tournament will no doubt be hoping for a much better crowd turnout than has been the case in previous years where the proverbial one man and his dog have been in attendance.

It’s usually a fairly quick Deco Turf outdoor hard surface here and certainly it tends to be a bit faster than Beijing last week and they have a retractable roof in the very high likelihood of inclement weather, which is forecast again this week.

Monday’s play kicks off at around 7am UK time and there are 10 first round matches on the card to choose from, although it’s not a hugely appealing schedule today.

 

Daniel Brands vs Alejandro Falla

The big German looks a little overpriced here in this 10am UK time clash against Colombian lefty Falla.

Brands has taken time to acclimatise to conditions in Asia after playing Davis Cup and that may well have contributed to a disappointing loss to Adrian Mannarino in Kuala Lumpur, while Alex Dolgopolov was excellent last week in Tokyo and a tough first round draw for Brands last week.

All of which has seen him trade at odds-against here, which may well represent a touch of value in fairly quick conditions. Falla has the advantage of having played three qualifying matches here, but he’s had a poor season on the whole and discounting his run to the final at home in Bogota he’s won just eight matches in the main draw at tour level all season.

I would make Brands the favourite here, with his big game suiting Shanghai and therefore the 1.96 represents the value in this one. 

 

Best Bet

Back Brands to beat Falla at 1.96