ATP St Petersburg Open Betting: Rosol won't catch Khachanov

The second round matches complete at the St Petersburg Open on Thursday, with six matches scheduled for today at the Peterburgsky Sport Complex.

Wednesday was a perfect day for my wagers, with both of my +1.5 set picks of Sergiy Stakhovsky and Guillermo Garcia-Lopez taking the opening sets in their respective matches. Both went on to beat their favoured opponents Fernando Verdasco and Mikhail Youzhny, while Janko Tipsarevic also went down on a poor day for seeded players in Russia.

Play begins at 10am UK time today and the first match on the card is one that interests me.

Karen Khachanov vs Lukas Rosol

He may have a girl’s name, but this Karen may be one to keep an eye on in the men’s game in future. The 17-year-old, who is ranked number 19 in the world junior ratings has already taken down the experienced Victor Hanescu here in his first tour level event.

The Moscow-born player impressed during that win over Hanescu and Rosol, whose win over Ricardas Berankis in the first round here was his first success in 11 matches, looks way too short in the betting with all the pressure on him.

This tournament has a long tradition of players from the region coming through qualifiers to reach the latter stages. Although that may be beyond Khachanov this time around, he can push Rosol here and the +1.5 sets at 1.90 seems good value.

Roberto Bautista-Agut vs Evgeny Donskoy

The Spaniard took down a half-hearted Tipsarevic here yesterday, but the layers may have overreacted to that win and he looks short here at around 1.65 against another Russian in Donskoy.

I went against Donskoy in the first round, but Adrian Mannarino didn’t turn up, so it’s hard to allow Donskoy a huge amount of credit for that straight sets win. But I fancy the 23-year-old Moscow native to be competitive here after getting through that clash with Mannarino.

Bautista-Agut is effective on hard courts and was a quarter finalist here last year, but the motivation will surely be higher for Donskoy, who this week is working with the soon-to-be retired Igor Andreev - it will be tough for RBA to back up that Tipsarevic win here. The Russian will have the crowd behind him and 2.18 seems a bit big to me in what looks a 50/50 clash. 

Best Bets

Back Khachanov +1.5 sets to beat Rosol

Back Donskoy to beat Bautista-Agut at 2.18

Follow Sean Calvert's daily betting tips.