Wednesday on week 21 of the 2014 ATP World Tour has 16 matches to look at in the Dusseldorf Open and Open de Nice Cote d’Azur.
My bets yesterday went one from two, beginning with a very comfortable winner in the form of Robin Haase minus 3.5 games on the handicap over the hapless Pippo Volandri.
The Dutchman didn’t face a break point in a 6-3, 6-2 success over the slumping Volandri, but I should have stuck with my original conclusion that Jack Sock had the edge over Kenny de Schepper in my second wager.
The American eased past the Frenchman quicker than I thought and therefore foiled my second bet of the day on the overs.
It’s set to be very windy today in Nice, so it’s probably a good day to side with the low ball toss and measured spin of Albert Montanes over lucky loser Sam Querrey first up there.
But I like the opener in Dusseldorf, which will be live on British Eurosport 2 in the UK at 11.00.
Juan Monaco 1.57 Marcel Granollers 2.35
Defending Dusseldorf champion Monaco played some of his best tennis for about five years yesterday in a comprehensive win over Benjamin Becker and while the opposition wasn’t up to much it was good to see the Argentine playing well again.
Pico has been in the doldrums for a while with injury issues, but he should be the more motivated of the pair today defending his title against an opponent who rarely goes well ahead of a grand slam.
Indeed, Granollers has never been beyond the quarter finals of any tournament the week before a major and he usually is out before that stage or doesn’t play at all.
It’s been a typical sort of year for Marcel so far, with six first round exits and one final and since that championship match in Casablanca, which he lost, he’s won just two of seven matches.
He does have a 3-1 head-to-head lead over Pico, but two of those have come on indoor hard, which Granollers is much more effective than Monaco on and on current form and motivation I’m happy to take the 1.61 about Pico today.
Back over in Nice, I am very tempted to take Dominic Thiem over Gilles Simon as underdog in their 17.00 UK time clash today.
Thiem was the beneficiary of a bizarre series of chokes from Steve Johnson yesterday in a match he should never have won, but the young Austrian has been quite unwell lately and I’m not convinced about his fitness after a long match like that.
John Isner vs Sock will presumably be one for the overs, while it might be worth taking on Ernests Gulbis in his 14.00 UK time meet with Martin Klizan.
Gulbis has been known to react badly in the wind and with his temperament I wouldn’t be sure about his attitude today if he gets the worst of the conditions.
The 1.68 on Klizan +3.5 games is tempting there, while I expect Haase to get the better of Dmitry Tursunov, whose flat hitting style doesn’t leave much margin for error in the wind.
Best Bet: Back Monaco to beat Granollers at 1.61