Thursday at the 2014 Rogers Cup sees the round of 16 in play after another action packed day at the Rexall Centre, Toronto on Wednesday.
My best bets on Wednesday began well when Donald Young landed the +1.5 sets wager when coming from behind to win the opener against Grigor Dimitrov, before Milos Raonic and Jack Sock went way past the 22.5 total games mark in their match.
Those on the 2-1 to Raonic would also have profited there, as would those that took Julien Benneteau, who defeated a disappointing Ernests Gulbis in straight sets.
All eight last-16 clashes are set for today and the weather is forecast to be sunny and fairly humid in Toronto with no chance of any rain.
David Ferrer vs Ivan Dodig
The men’s card looks far less appealing than the women’s in Canada today, with most of the favourites looking the likely winners, but one that’s worth risking is Dodig here.
The Croatian had been out of action since the French Open with injury, but came back last week in doubles and he’s immediately found his feet in singles again, with wins over John Isner and Andreas Seppi.
Both were three set matches, but the Isner one can’t have involved many long rallies and he should be well rested after that spell on the sidelines.
Dodig has troubled Ferrer in the past and especially early on and with Ferrer struggling with an arm injury that he incurred last week in training Dodig has a shot at the set handicap here at 1.92.
He’s taken a set each time he’s played Ferrer and the Spaniard was hardly convincing against veteran grinder Michael Russell yesterday in a three set struggle.
Ferrer’s form this season has been patchy and in his three events post-French Open – when he admitted to throwing in the towel against Rafa Nadal – he was beaten by Andrey Kuznetsov, Carlos Berlocq and Leo Mayer; the latter two on his beloved clay.
Confidence in his game and his body can’t be high right now and on a tough day to find value Dodig does represent a decent opportunity.
Short-priced punters will perhaps look to hoover up some profit by siding with Novak Djokovic, Roger Federer and Raonic, who look the best of the favourites and it’s hard to see any of those three being beaten.
Djokovic had a real scare yesterday from a supposedly unfit Gael Monfils, who once again was content to have put on a show and didn’t have the ambition to win from 3-1 up in the decider against Novak.
The world number one is likely to make up for that today against another Frenchman in Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, whose form is nowhere near good enough to beat the Serb at the moment.
I might have been of a mind to back Marin Cilic – and indeed I did have him as one of my outrights at the start of the week – but he’s been so poor in the two matches he’s played here it’s tough to see him beating Federer.
The Croatian does have it in him, but getting it out appears to be a problem and perhaps a bigger match will see him turn up more focused today, but Federer will likely win in two fairly close sets.
Tommy Robredo has a chance against Dimitrov, who was predictably rusty on his reappearance yesterday, but his price is a little short for my liking and Tommy himself has been very in and out in 2014.
Best Bet: Back Dodig +1.5 sets to beat Ferrer at 1.92