ATP Tennis Betting: Federer Won't Take His Time Against Ferrer


The final of the Western & Southern Open is set for Sunday at the Lindner Family Tennis Centre, featuring Roger Federer and David Ferrer.

It was all too easy for Ferrer yesterday against a jaded Julien Benneteau, who was unable to grab the set I needed from him in Saturday’s semi-final.

The forecast suggests that we’re in for another hot and humid day in Mason, Ohio on Sunday, with a chance of some thunderstorms at around the same time as this match starts, which is at 16:00 local (21:00 UK).

 

David Ferrer vs Roger Federer

What is there to say about this match-up that hasn’t already been witnessed time and again in the decade plus that this pair have faced off?

They first met back in 2003 in the first round of Vienna on indoor hard and Federer ran out a comfortable straight sets winner. It’s been the same ever since.

The pair have met 16 times in all competitions and 15 times at main level (one was an exhibition event) and on each occasion Federer has come out on top – and usually by a comfortable margin.

Last week’s clash in Toronto was one of the few times that Ferrer has taken a set from his nemesis and only four times in those 16 matches has he managed to do that.

It wasn’t the greatest of matches in Canada if truth be known and after destructing the one-dimensional game of Milos Raonic last night Federer should be full of confidence and ready to land his sixth Cincy title.

Conditions here clearly suit the Federer game and it’s hard to see Ferrer gaining many inroads into the Swiss maestro’s service games here in Cincy.

The Spaniard hasn’t been at his best this week, nor indeed since the French Open, and he didn’t really have to extend himself much against Benneteau last night.

My bets in this one centre around the margin of victory for the Swiss and two that appeal are the under 9.5 games in set two, by which time Ferrer might well have mentally checked out, and the under total games.

Six of the last 10 main level meetings between these two have ended in a final set of fewer than 10 games, which makes the 2.00 about the set two unders appeal, while the under 21.5 total games at 1.90 is the other option.

Federer will be very keen indeed to erase the memory of the awful performance he produced in the Toronto final against Jo-Wilfried Tsonga and that can be partly put down to the quick turnaround in the schedule.

It’s a similar turnaround this time too, but I very much doubt we’ll see a similarly flat showing from Federer today.

 

Best Bet

Back under 21.5 total games at 1.90