ATP Tennis Betting: Raonic And Johnson Set For Long Battle In DC


Friday is quarter-finals day in Washington DC, with the final eight men doing battle in the ATP Citi Open.

It’s set to be a stormy day in the capital according to the weather forecast, with high humidity, lower temperatures, and a high chance of thunderstorms.

Hopefully, it won’t affect matters too much after a boiling hot day yesterday saw my bets go down in unfortunate circumstances.

My idea to oppose short-priced favourite Tomas Berdych proved to be the right one, but I plumped for the wrong way to do it, as Vasek Pospisil actually ended up winning too easily.

That was annoying, as was the Milos Raonic/Lleyton Hewitt bet on 2-1 to the Canadian in a match that ended in two tie breaks and a 2-0 win for Raonic.

Rusty was guilty of not taking any of the four break point chances that came his way – any of which would surely have tipped us into a decider.

Play starts earlier in DC on Friday, with a 6pm UK time call time (13:00 local), and first up there's an intriguing clash between Kevin Anderson and Donald Young, which will be ninth time that this pair have faced each other across the net.

Anderson has won the last five, dating back to 2010, while Young won their first three meetings from 2007-2009.

It’s always tough trying to second guess how The Don will play and he can make one look very silly indeed, such is the variance in his level, so for me the only bet I would consider here would be a 2-1 Anderson win at 3.65. It's not worth risking any shorter prices with the inconsistent Young involved.

 

Steve Johnson vs Milos Raonic – Live on Unibet TV

Johnson must be looking forward to his match tonight with all the enthusiasm of a Southampton FC season ticket holder awaiting the new football campaign, as he faces yet another huge server.

After fighting past John Isner and Ivo Karlovic in final set tie breakers and watching 56 aces fly past him in those two matches he now faces arguably an even tougher serve in that of Raonic.

Milos has managed to break his opponents' serve just the once in his 24 return games so far this week against Hewitt and Jack Sock, while Johnson has been broken just twice, so the chances are this will go over the 22.5 total games mark again if they keep that up.

The fact that the American has played two three setters shouldn’t mean he’s too fatigued, as the points were short in both of them and each match was only around the two-hour mark, which isn’t that long.

Raonic will probably win this first career meeting between the pair, but he’s too short at 1.20 and the overs at 22.5 and 1.75 looks the call here.

 

Kei Nishikori vs Richard Gasquet – Live on Unibet TV

If I weren’t on Nishikori outright this week I would probably be siding with Gasquet in the midnight UK time clash between the pair.

The Gasman has a lot going for him in this one, with a 4-0 head-to-head record over Nishikori, combined with Nishikori’s ankle problems and the fact that Gasquet's matches here have been much quicker and simpler so far this week.

So, for Gasquet to be underdog at 2.10 seems a little off to me and those not on the Japanese player outright will probably want to add Dickie to their shortlist of bets for tonight.

It’s always a bit of a gamble trusting the inconsistent and also injury prone Frenchman, who revealed that his reason for withdrawing from Atlanta last week was an arm injury, but the odds look a little off for me here.

The Frenchman says he’s “very sound” and “feels no pain” now after this mysterious arm injury and he’s shown no ill effects from it so far this week.

Gasquet was a 1.52 and 1.57 shot when he beat Nishikori twice last year on hard courts, yet today he’s 2.10 against an injured opponent, so the obvious bet is Gasquet there.

 

Finally, at around 02:15 UK time we have Pospisil taking on Santi Giraldo, both of whom had very good wins last night and this first meeting between the pair is a tricky one to call.

The Canadian is a bit of a showman and will enjoy being the main attraction on the Stadium Court tonight, which might just edge things in his favour.

This pair have never met before and much will depend on the serve of Pospisil in these quick conditions.

I would just give him the edge, but that Berdych win has made him too short for my liking.

 

Best Bet

Back over 22.5 total games in Raonic/Johnson at 1.75